#XAUUSD @ 1704.52 Gold edges higher on Friday and moves away from a multi-week low touched the previous day. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Gold edges higher on Friday and moves away from a multi-week low touched the previous day.
- A modest USD pullback from a two-decade high, retreating US bond yields offer some support.
- Hawkish Fed expectations should cap any meaningful upside ahead of the US jobs data (NFP).
The pair currently trades last at 1704.52.
The previous day high was 1711.49 while the previous day low was 1688.92. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1697.54, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1702.87, expected to provide support.
Gold gains some positive traction on Friday and recovers a major part of the previous day’s losses to the sub-$1,690 levels – the lowest since July 21. The steady intraday ascent lifts spot prices to a fresh daily high, further beyond the $1,700 mark during the first half of the European session.
The US dollar edges lower and moves away from a two-decade high touched the previous day amid some repositioning trade ahead of the closely-watched US monthly jobs report. Apart from this, a softer tone surrounding the US Treasury bond yields further contributes to the modest USD downtick, which, in turn, is seen as lending support to the dollar-denominated commodity. That said, any meaningful positive move still seems elusive amid hawkish Fed expectations.
In fact, the markets seem convinced that the US central bank will continue to tighten its policy to tame inflation and have been pricing in a supersized 75 bps rate hike at the September meeting. The bets were reaffirmed by the recent hawkish remarks by several Fed officials. This should act as a tailwind for elevated US bond yields and limit any meaningful USD corrective slide, capping gains for the non-yielding yellow metal, at least for time being.
Investors might also prefer to move to the sidelines and wait for a fresh catalyst. Hence, the focus will remain glued to the US NFP report, due for release later during the early North American session. The data might influence Fed rate hike expectations and will play a key role in influencing the USD price dynamics. This, in turn, should assist investors to determine the near-term trajectory for gold ahead of the crucial FOMC meeting on September 20-21.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAUUSD currently trading at 1704.69 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1697.5 and is trading with a change of 0.42 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1704.69 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 7.19 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.42 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1697.50 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1758.43, 50 SMA 1756.56, 100 SMA @ 1810.4 and 200 SMA @ 1835.59.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1758.43 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1756.56 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1810.40 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1835.59 |
The previous day high was 1711.49 while the previous day low was 1688.92. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1697.54, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1702.87, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1687.12, 1676.73, 1664.55
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1709.69, 1721.87, 1732.26
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1711.49 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1688.92 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1765.51 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1727.87 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1807.93 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1709.68 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1697.54 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1702.87 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1687.12 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1676.73 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1664.55 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1709.69 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1721.87 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1732.26 |
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