#USDCAD @ 1.38390 sets to recapture annual high around 1.3870 despite the USD Index coming under pressure.

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#USDCAD @ 1.38390 sets to recapture annual high around 1.3870 despite the USD Index coming under pressure.

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  • USD/CAD sets to recapture annual high around 1.3870 despite the USD Index coming under pressure.
  • Monthly US core PCE accelerated at an expected pace of 0.3% in September against 0.1%.
  • Oil prices retreat from $85.00 despite escalating Middle East tensions.
  • The pair currently trades last at 1.38390.

    The previous day high was 1.3844 while the previous day low was 1.379. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3823, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3811, expected to provide support.

    The USD/CAD pair comes closer to an annual high around 1.3870 as global oil prices retreat after facing stiff barricades above the crucial resistance of $85.00. The Lonnie asset gains almost 0.15%, at the time of writing, despite a sell-off in the US Dollar. The Loonie asset strengthened despite a sharp fall in the US Dollar Index (DXY) indicating that the Canadian Dollar is significantly weak.

    The S&P500 opens on a positive note but struggles for a firm footing as the broader market mood is risk-off amid a focus on Middle East tensions. Investors see further escalation in Mid-East conflicts as the Pentagon reported that the US army carried out air strikes on bases in eastern Syria.

    The USD Index dropped vertically to near 106.30 as the steady United States core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index report is insufficient to impact the widely anticipated unchanged monetary policy decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed) on November 1. Monthly US core PCE accelerated at an expected pace of 0.3% in September against 0.1% growth in August. The annual core PCE rose by 3.7% but decelerated from the August reading of 3.9%.

    As per the CME Fedwatch tool, traders see the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged at 5.25-5.50% almost certain. The odds of one more interest rate increase in any of the two remaining monetary policy meetings in 2023 have dipped sharply to 20%.

    Meanwhile, investors continue to dump the Canadian Dollar amid declining oil prices. It is worth noting that Canada is the leading exporter of oil to the United States and higher oil prices support the Canadian Dollar.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDCAD currently trading at 1.3846 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.3831 and is trading with a change of 0.11 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 1.3846
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0015
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.1100
    3 Today daily open 1.3831

    The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.3683, 50 SMA 1.36, 100 SMA @ 1.3439 and 200 SMA @ 1.3477.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 1.3683
    1 Daily SMA50 1.3600
    2 Daily SMA100 1.3439
    3 Daily SMA200 1.3477

    The previous day high was 1.3844 while the previous day low was 1.379. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3823, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3811, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 1.3799, 1.3768, 1.3745
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.3853, 1.3876, 1.3907
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 1.3844
    Previous Daily Low 1.3790
    Previous Weekly High 1.3741
    Previous Weekly Low 1.3606
    Previous Monthly High 1.3694
    Previous Monthly Low 1.3379
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3823
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3811
    Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3799
    Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3768
    Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3745
    Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3853
    Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3876
    Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3907

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