#EURUSD @ 1.05660 faces some selling pressure amid the cautious mood, higher US Treasury yields.

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#EURUSD @ 1.05660 faces some selling pressure amid the cautious mood, higher US Treasury yields.

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  • EUR/USD faces some selling pressure amid the cautious mood, higher US Treasury yields.
  • The US New Home Sales increased to 759,000 MoM in September, better than expected.
  • European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday.
  • Investors will closely watch the ECB rate decision, ECB President Lagarde’s speech, and US Q3 growth numbers.
  • The pair currently trades last at 1.05660.

    The previous day high was 1.0695 while the previous day low was 1.0583. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0626, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0652, expected to provide resistance.

    The EUR/USD pair resumes its downside path after retracing from the 1.0600 area during the early Asian session on Thursday. Markets turn cautious on the escalating tension in the Middle East ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision on Thursday, with no change in rate expected. The major pair currently trades around 1.0567, gaining 0.01% on the day.

    That being said higher US Treasury yields and risk-off mood boost the US Dollar (USD) broadly. The September’s New Home Sales in the US increased to 759,000 MoM, above the market consensus of 680,000.

    Furthermore, the Middle East conflicts might cap the upside of the pair and boost safe-haven assets like the Greenback. Israel agreed to delay the invasion of Gaza. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that a ground invasion is being prepared.

    On the other hand, the Eurozone economic data suggested a negative outlook in the region, which exerts pressure on the Euro (EUR). On Tuesday, the preliminary Composite PMI for the eurozone fell to 46.5 in October from 47.2 in September. It was the sixth consecutive reading below 50, indicating an ongoing downturn. Meanwhile, the Manufacturing PMI dropped to 43.0 from 43.4 in the previous reading, and the Services PMI declined from 48.7 versus 47.8 prior.

    European Central Bank policymaker Gabriel Makhlouf said on Tuesday that the central bank will monitor the unfolding crisis in the Middle East while mentioning that it was too early to assess the impact on economies.

    Investors will keep an eye on the ECB monetary policy meeting later on Thursday, which is expected to keep interest rates unchanged. The markets anticipate that the ECB is unlikely to raise any rate in the near future. The attention will shift to ECB President Christine Lagarde’s forward guidance following the meeting.

    On the US docket, the first Q3 Gross Domestic Product estimate will be due on Thursday, which is expected to show a 4.2% expansion. Also, Initial Jobless Claims and Durable Goods Orders will be released. These figures could give a clear direction to the EUR/USD pair.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    EURUSD currently trading at 1.0567 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.059 and is trading with a change of -0.22 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 1.0567
    1 Today Daily Change -0.0023
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.2200
    3 Today daily open 1.0590

    The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.0558, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.0678 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.0824 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.0818

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 1.0558
    1 Daily SMA50 1.0678
    2 Daily SMA100 1.0824
    3 Daily SMA200 1.0818

    The previous day high was 1.0695 while the previous day low was 1.0583. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0626, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0652, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 1.0551, 1.0511, 1.0439
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0662, 1.0734, 1.0774
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 1.0695
    Previous Daily Low 1.0583
    Previous Weekly High 1.0617
    Previous Weekly Low 1.0511
    Previous Monthly High 1.0882
    Previous Monthly Low 1.0488
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0626
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0652
    Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0551
    Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0511
    Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0439
    Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0662
    Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0734
    Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0774

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