The divergence between the USDCHF pair grows larger due to the increasing value of the US Dollar and the decrease in value of the Swiss Franc.

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The divergence between the USDCHF pair grows larger due to the increasing value of the US Dollar and the decrease in value of the Swiss Franc.

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  • The USD/CHF differential continues to widen as the US Dollar gains strength and the Swiss Franc swoons.
  • The SNB’s dovish pivot last week continues to drain investor interest in bidding up the CHF.
  • The Swiss National Bank held off on further rate hikes last Thursday amidst slumping Swiss inflation data.
  • The pair currently trades last at 0.91211.

    The previous day high was 0.9075 while the previous day low was 0.9038. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9061, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9052, expected to provide support.

    The USD/CHF is pinned to the high side in Monday trading, reaching the 0.9130 region. Another move higher will have the pair testing into new five-month highs.

    Last week, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) was unceremoniously knocked off its rate hike cycle, surprising markets and flubbing investor expectations when the SNB failed to raise rates another 25 basis points last Thursday.

    Inflation figures for the Swiss domestic economy have been unwinding much faster than the SNB initially thought, and the Swiss central bank was forced to pull the plug on its current rate hike schedule.

    The Greenback (USD) continues to firm up in markets, bolstered by last week’s hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) showing; while both central banks held rates steady last week, it’s the Fed that gets the benefit of the doubt in markets, with the US central bank seeing interest rates staying higher for longer than previously forecast.

    This week sees a quiet start to things on the economic calendar, with mid-tier data on offering until Thursday’s US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) printing.

    Tuesday will bring US housing and consumer confidence figures, while CHF traders will want to keep an eye on Wednesday’s ZEW sentiment expectations and the SNB’s quarterly bulletin.

    Bullish momentum for the US Dollar is pushing the USD/CHF pair higher, and hourly candles are accelerating into the top end. The pair is up over 2% from last week’s low near 0.8930, and a fresh push higher will put the pair into new five-month highs.

    Daily candlesticks see the USD/CHF pushing above the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) which currently sits near 0.9050, and the 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) has turned bullish, crossing over the 100-day SMA near 0.8900 and set to give prices technical support.

    The next significant resistance zone sits at March’s swing highs near the 0.9400 handle.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDCHF currently trading at 0.9119 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.9067 and is trading with a change of 0.57 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 0.9119
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0052
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.5700
    3 Today daily open 0.9067

    The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 0.8917, 50 SMA 0.8806, 100 SMA @ 0.8886 and 200 SMA @ 0.9035.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 0.8917
    1 Daily SMA50 0.8806
    2 Daily SMA100 0.8886
    3 Daily SMA200 0.9035

    The previous day high was 0.9075 while the previous day low was 0.9038. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9061, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9052, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 0.9045, 0.9023, 0.9007
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.9082, 0.9098, 0.912
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 0.9075
    Previous Daily Low 0.9038
    Previous Weekly High 0.9078
    Previous Weekly Low 0.8932
    Previous Monthly High 0.8876
    Previous Monthly Low 0.8690
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9061
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9052
    Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9045
    Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9023
    Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9007
    Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9082
    Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9098
    Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9120

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