There is a significant amount of selling activity in the USDCAD currency pair as the US Dollar experiences a sharp correction in anticipation of the Federal Reserve policy.
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- USD/CAD witnesses selling pressure as the US Dollar corrects sharply ahead of the Fed policy.
The pair currently trades last at 1.33996.
The previous day high was 1.3528 while the previous day low was 1.3472. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3493, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3507, expected to provide resistance.
The USD/CAD pair witnesses an immense sell-off as the US Dollar weakens ahead of the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Loonie asset also faces selling pressure as Statistics Canada reported that the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) expanded at a pace of 0.4% vs. expectations of 0.2%.
The annual headline inflation accelerated sharply to 4% against the estimates of 3.8% and the former release of 3.3%. The core CPI that excludes volatile oil and food prices expanded nominally by 0.1%, indicating subdued demand for non-durable goods and services. On an annualized basis, the core CPI rose to 3.3%.
Canada’s inflation for August is not expected to force the Bank of Canada (BoC) to deliver one more interest rate hike as the core inflation remains steady, which is generally considered for the monetary policy framework.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) continues a two-day losing spell as the Fed is expected to skip raising interest rates in its September monetary policy on Wednesday. This would be the second time the Fed is expected to skip hiking interest rates in its historically aggressive tightening spell that started in March 2022.
As per the CME Group Fedwatch Tool, traders undoubtedly see interest rates remaining steady at 5.25%-5.50% after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday. For the rest of the year, traders anticipate almost a 58% chance for the Fed to also keep monetary policy unchanged.
Investors would look for the commentary about rate cuts as the US manufacturing sector is going through turbulent times. US firms are operating at lower capacity and working on achieving operational efficiency by controlling costs through lower inventory due to a deteriorating demand environment.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDCAD currently trading at 1.3407 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.3486 and is trading with a change of -0.59 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.3407 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0079 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.5900 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.3486 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.3572, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.3418 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.3402 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.3464
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.3572 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.3418 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.3402 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.3464 |
The previous day high was 1.3528 while the previous day low was 1.3472. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3493, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3507, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.3463, 1.3439, 1.3406
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.3519, 1.3552, 1.3576
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.3528 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.3472 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.3639 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.3493 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.3640 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.3184 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.3493 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.3507 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.3463 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.3439 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.3406 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.3519 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.3552 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.3576 |
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