The USDCHF currency pair starts the new week with a decrease at the price of 0.89147, but there is not much continuation of selling pressure.

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The USDCHF currency pair starts the new week with a decrease at the price of 0.89147, but there is not much continuation of selling pressure.

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  • USD/CHF kicks off the new week on a weaker note, albeit lacks follow-through selling.
  • A modest USD pullback from a multi-month top is seen exerting pressure on the major.
  • Hawkish Fed expectations, elevated US bond yields limit losses for the USD and the pair.
  • The pair currently trades last at 0.89147.

    The previous day high was 0.8937 while the previous day low was 0.8895. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8921, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8911, expected to provide support.

    The USD/CHF pair opens with a bearish gap on the first day of a new week, albeit manages to hold its neck above the 0.8900 mark through the Asian session. Spot prices currently trade around the 0.8910-0.8915 area, down nearly 0.20% for the day, and remain at the mercy of the US Dollar (USD) price dynamics.

    Following the recent strong run-up, the USD Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, pulls back from a six-month high and turns out to be a key factor exerting some pressure on the USD/CHF pair. The USD downtick could be attributed to a strong pickup in demand for the Japanese Yen (JPY), bolstered by Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda’s hawkish remarks over the weekend. That said, hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations might hold back traders from placing aggressive USD bearish bets.

    Market participants seem convinced that the US central bank will keep interest rates higher for longer and have been pricing in the possibility of one more 25 bps lift-off by the end of this year. The bets were reaffirmed by The Wall Street Journal report, stating that some officials still prefer to err on the side of raising rates too much, reasoning that they can cut them later. This remains supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields and should act as a tailwind for the buck, warranting caution before positioning for a deeper USD/CHF corrective slide.

    Investors might also prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of this week’s key US macro releases – the latest consumer inflation figures on Wednesday, followed by the Producer Price Index (PPI) and Retail Sales data on Thursday. In the meantime, a generally positive tone around the equity markets could undermine the safe-haven Swiss Franc (CHF) and contribute to limiting losses for the USD/CHF pair. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling before confirming that spot prices have topped out near the 0.8940-0.8945 region.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDCHF currently trading at 0.8914 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.893 and is trading with a change of -0.18 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 0.8914
    1 Today Daily Change -0.0016
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.1800
    3 Today daily open 0.8930

    The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.8832, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.8777 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.8879 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.9053

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 0.8832
    1 Daily SMA50 0.8777
    2 Daily SMA100 0.8879
    3 Daily SMA200 0.9053

    The previous day high was 0.8937 while the previous day low was 0.8895. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8921, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8911, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 0.8904, 0.8879, 0.8862
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.8946, 0.8962, 0.8988
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 0.8937
    Previous Daily Low 0.8895
    Previous Weekly High 0.8945
    Previous Weekly Low 0.8833
    Previous Monthly High 0.8876
    Previous Monthly Low 0.8690
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.8921
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.8911
    Daily Pivot Point S1 0.8904
    Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8879
    Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8862
    Daily Pivot Point R1 0.8946
    Daily Pivot Point R2 0.8962
    Daily Pivot Point R3 0.8988

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