The USDCHF pair, currently trading at 0.88354, has experienced a rebound from 0.8820 due to speculations that the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates again before the year ends.
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- USD/CHF recovers from 0.8820 as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates one more time this year.
The pair currently trades last at 0.88354.
The previous day high was 0.8876 while the previous day low was 0.8822. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8855, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8842, expected to provide resistance.
The USD/CHF pair finds support after a correction near 0.8820 as chances of one more interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) deepened. The Swiss Franc asset is expected to extend recovery further as further policy tightening by the Fed will widen the Fed-Swiss National Bank (SNB) policy divergence.
S&P500 futures add some gains in Europe, portraying strength in the risk appetite of the market participants. US equities were heavily bought on Friday despite Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivering a hawkish commentary. The appeal for risk-sensitive assets improved as Fed Powell reiterated the need for more interest rate hikes but it will be data-dependent.
Fed Powell warned that the process of achieving price stability has a long way to go. Therefore, the Fed is expected to keep interest rates higher for a longer period.
Cleveland Fed Bank President Loretta Mester said she supports one more interest rate hike, though not necessarily in September. She emphasized on achieving price stability by the end of 2025 and should not allow it to drift into 2026. After Mester and Powell’s hawkish commentary, chances of an interest rate hike in November shoot above 50%.
Investors will keenly watch the United States labor market and ISM Manufacturing PMI data for August, which will be released later this week.
Meanwhile, the Swiss Franc remains on tenterhooks as investors shift focus to the SNB interest rate decision, which will be announced later this month. Investors remain mixed about policy stance as Swiss inflation has come down to near 2%. It would be worth watching whether the SNB Chairman Thomas J. Jordan would remain hawkish to ensure inflation below 2% or allow the current monetary policy to demonstrate its ability to tame inflation.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDCHF currently trading at 0.8832 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.8846 and is trading with a change of -0.16 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.8832 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0014 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.1600 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.8846 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.8777, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.8797 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.889 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.9084
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.8777 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.8797 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.8890 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.9084 |
The previous day high was 0.8876 while the previous day low was 0.8822. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8855, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8842, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.882, 0.8793, 0.8765
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.8874, 0.8902, 0.8928
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.8876 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.8822 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.8876 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.8760 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.9005 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.8552 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.8855 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.8842 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.8820 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.8793 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.8765 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.8874 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.8902 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.8928 |
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