The exchange rate between the US dollar and the Chinese yuan has increased to reach a new high during the day following China’s injection of liquidity into the market.

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The exchange rate between the US dollar and the Chinese yuan has increased to reach a new high during the day following China’s injection of liquidity into the market.

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  • USD/CNH picks up bids to refresh intraday high after China infuses market liquidity.
  • PBoC cuts one-year LPRs, China Commerce Ministry offers help to farmers.
  • Mixed concerns about Fed Chair Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole, hopes of more stimulus from China underpin market’s consolidation.
  • PMIs for August, risk catalysts eyed for clear directions.
  • The pair currently trades last at 7.32308.

    The previous day high was 7.3188 while the previous day low was 7.2824. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 7.3049, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 7.2963, expected to provide support.

    USD/CNH takes the bids to refresh intraday high after the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced rate cuts early Monday. Adding strength to the offshore Chinese Yuan (CNY) pair could be the weekend headlines suggesting more stimulus from China. With this, the quote rises for the second consecutive day to 7.3240 by the press time, following the three-week uptrend.

    People’s Bank of China (PBOC), lowered the one-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) to 3.45% from 3.55% previous and 3.40% expected. However, the Chinese central bank kept the five-year LPRs unchanged at 4.20%. It’s worth noting that the PBoC previously cut the Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF), Standing Lending Facility rates (SLFs) and Reverse Repo Rates to infuse liquidity into the world’s second-largest economy.

    Earlier in the day, Chinese state media Xinhua came out with the news suggesting the authorities plan to introduce subsidies for fertilizers and pesticides in the northern region of the nation, per Reuters. On the same line, the weekend news from China suggests the dragon nation’s more efforts to infuse liquidity into the world’s second-largest economy, which in turn triggered the market’s cautious optimism during early Monday.

    While portraying the mood, Wall Street closed mixed on Friday whereas the US Treasury bond yields retreat after a strongly negative week for the equities and the upbeat bound coupons. That said, the S&P500 Futures remain lackluster at the monthly low by the press time.

    On the other hand, the US Dollar Index (DXY) retreats from a 10-week high as market players struggle to aptly predict Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s view at this week’s Jackson Hole Symposium. That said, the DXY rose in the last five consecutive weeks before retreating to 103.30.

    The upbeat US NY Fed Manufacturing Index, Retail Sales and wage growth allowed the DXY to remain firmer for the fifth consecutive week, especially backed by the hawkish Fed Minutes. That said, the latest Fed Minutes showed that most policymakers preferred supporting the battle again the ‘sticky’ inflation, despite being divided on the imminent rate hike. Additionally, the market players started reassessing previous biases about the major central banks and added strength to the risk aversion, primarily fuelled by the China-linked woes. On the same line, investors anticipated that the end of the rate hike cycle is still unclear, which means more bearish pressure on riskier assets and a rush for the US Dollar.

    Looking ahead, preliminary readings of the August month Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs) and Durable Goods Orders for July will entertain the USD/CNH traders ahead of the central bankers’ speeches at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium event.

    A clear U-turn from the fortnight-old support line, around 7.3000 by the press time, directs USD/CNH towards the yearly top marked the last week surrounding 7.3500.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDCNH currently trading at 7.3204 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 7.3086 and is trading with a change of 0.16% % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 7.3204
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0118
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.16%
    3 Today daily open 7.3086

    The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 7.2213, 50 SMA 7.2095, 100 SMA @ 7.093 and 200 SMA @ 7.0036.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 7.2213
    1 Daily SMA50 7.2095
    2 Daily SMA100 7.0930
    3 Daily SMA200 7.0036

    The previous day high was 7.3188 while the previous day low was 7.2824. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 7.3049, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 7.2963, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 7.2877, 7.2668, 7.2512
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 7.3242, 7.3398, 7.3607
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 7.3188
    Previous Daily Low 7.2824
    Previous Weekly High 7.3496
    Previous Weekly Low 7.2580
    Previous Monthly High 7.2744
    Previous Monthly Low 7.1160
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 7.3049
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 7.2963
    Daily Pivot Point S1 7.2877
    Daily Pivot Point S2 7.2668
    Daily Pivot Point S3 7.2512
    Daily Pivot Point R1 7.3242
    Daily Pivot Point R2 7.3398
    Daily Pivot Point R3 7.3607

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