The EURUSD currency pair drops to a six-week low of 1.08653 as the US Dollar strengthens following the release of the FOMC Minutes. Analysis suggests that the downside movement is expected to be limited.

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The EURUSD currency pair drops to a six-week low of 1.08653 as the US Dollar strengthens following the release of the FOMC Minutes. Analysis suggests that the downside movement is expected to be limited.

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  • EUR/USD takes offers to refresh six-week low as US Dollar extends FOMC Minutes inspired gains.
  • Three-week-old falling support line, multiple levels marked since late June joins oversold RSI to prod Euro bears.
  • Bearish MACD signals, sustained trading below key trend lines, SMAs keep sellers hopeful of witnessing further downside.
  • The pair currently trades last at 1.08653.

    The previous day high was 1.0934 while the previous day low was 1.0872. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0896, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.091, expected to provide resistance.

    EUR/USD slides to the fresh low since early July as US Dollar extends the latest run-up during early Thursday. In doing so, the Euro pair drops for the second consecutive day to 1.0866, refreshing the 1.5-month low amid market’s risk-off mood and the firmer US Treasury bond yields.

    Also read: EUR/USD licks its wounds at six-week low under 1.0900 as Fed minutes, yields propel US Dollar

    Technically, the EUR/USD pair’s sustained trading below the 200-SMA, as well as the previous support line stretched from late May, joins the bearish MACD signals to suggest the major currency pair’s further downside.

    However, the oversold RSI (14) line joins a two-month-old horizontal support zone and a descending support line from July 28 to highlight 1.0845-35 as the short-term key support for the pair bears to watch.

    In a case where the Euro pair drops below 1.0835, the early June swing high around 1.0780 may act as an intermediate halt for the pair’s fall toward May’s bottom surrounding 1.0635.

    On the flip side, the latest swing high of around 1.0930 and 1.1000 round figure may entertain the EUR/USD buyers during a corrective bounce.

    However, a downward-sloping resistance line from July 18 and the 200-SMA, respectively near 1.1010 and 1.1025, can challenge the Euro pair’s further recovery.

    It’s worth noting that the aforementioned support-turned-resistance line from late May, close to 1.1060 at the latest, acts as the final defense of the EUR/USD sellers.

    Trend: Limited downside expected

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    EURUSD currently trading at 1.0871 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0879 and is trading with a change of -0.07% % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 1.0871
    1 Today Daily Change -0.0008
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.07%
    3 Today daily open 1.0879

    The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.0994, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.0973 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.0931 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.0785

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 1.0994
    1 Daily SMA50 1.0973
    2 Daily SMA100 1.0931
    3 Daily SMA200 1.0785

    The previous day high was 1.0934 while the previous day low was 1.0872. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0896, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.091, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 1.0856, 1.0832, 1.0793
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0919, 1.0958, 1.0982
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 1.0934
    Previous Daily Low 1.0872
    Previous Weekly High 1.1065
    Previous Weekly Low 1.0929
    Previous Monthly High 1.1276
    Previous Monthly Low 1.0834
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0896
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0910
    Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0856
    Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0832
    Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0793
    Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0919
    Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0958
    Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0982

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