The EUR/USD pair, currently at a rate of 1.10993, continues to rise for the second consecutive day, benefiting from ongoing selling pressure on the USD.

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The EUR/USD pair, currently at a rate of 1.10993, continues to rise for the second consecutive day, benefiting from ongoing selling pressure on the USD.

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  • EUR/USD scales higher for the second straight day and draws support from sustained USD selling.
  • Bets that the Fed will soon end its rate-hiking cycle and the upbeat market mood undermine the buck.
  • Investors now look to the crucial ECB meeting for a fresh impetus ahead of the key US macro data.
  • The pair currently trades last at 1.10993.

    The previous day high was 1.1107 while the previous day low was 1.1038. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1081, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1064, expected to provide support.

    The EUR/USD pair gains some positive traction for the second straight day on Thursday and moves back above the 1.1100 round-figure mark during the Asian session. Spot prices recover further from a nearly two-week low, around mid-1.1000s touched on Tuesday and remain well supported by some follow-through US Dollar (USD) selling.

    In fact, the USD Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, extends its pullback from a two-week high touched on Tuesday in the wake of firming expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is nearing the end of its rate-hiking cycle. The USD bulls, meanwhile, seem rather unimpressed by the fact that the Fed left the door open for one more interest rate hike in September or November. It is worth mentioning that Fed Chair Jerome Powell, speaking to the post after the widely expected 25 bps lift-off on Wednesday, said that the economy still needs to slow and the labour market to weaken for inflation to credibly return to the 2% target.

    Furthermore, hopes for more stimulus from China remain supportive of the underlying bullish sentiment across the global equity markets. This is seen as another factor weighing on the safe-haven USD, which, in turn, acts as a tailwind for the EUR/USD pair. It, however, remains to be seen if bulls can capitalize on the move or opt to lighten the bets ahead of the crucial European Central Bank (ECB) meeting this Thursday. The markets have been pricing in the possibility that the ECB will increase borrowing costs in July and September.

    Moreover, the minutes of the ECB meeting held in June revealed that policymakers remain determined to continue the current hiking cycle to bring inflation back to target. That said, ECB officials recently delivered mixed signals regarding the next policy moves on the back of emerging signs of a cooling economy. The fears were further fueled by this week’s disappointing release of the flash Euro Zone PMIs, which pointed to a sharp slowdown in business activity across the region. This, in turn, might cap gains for the EUR/USD pair.

    Traders might also refrain from placing aggressive bets heading into the key central bank event risk and ahead of important US macro releases, due later during the early North American session. Thursday’s US economic docket features the Advance Q2 GDP print, Durable Goods Order, the usual Weekly Initial Jobless Claims and Pending Home Sales data. This, along with the post-ECB volatility, should provide some meaningful impetus to the EUR/USD pair and contribute to producing short-term trading opportunities.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    EURUSD currently trading at 1.1108 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.1086 and is trading with a change of 0.2 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 1.1108
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0022
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.2000
    3 Today daily open 1.1086

    The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.105, 50 SMA 1.0906, 100 SMA @ 1.0897 and 200 SMA @ 1.0708.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 1.1050
    1 Daily SMA50 1.0906
    2 Daily SMA100 1.0897
    3 Daily SMA200 1.0708

    The previous day high was 1.1107 while the previous day low was 1.1038. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1081, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1064, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 1.1047, 1.1008, 1.0978
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1116, 1.1146, 1.1185
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 1.1107
    Previous Daily Low 1.1038
    Previous Weekly High 1.1276
    Previous Weekly Low 1.1108
    Previous Monthly High 1.1012
    Previous Monthly Low 1.0662
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.1081
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.1064
    Daily Pivot Point S1 1.1047
    Daily Pivot Point S2 1.1008
    Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0978
    Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1116
    Daily Pivot Point R2 1.1146
    Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1185

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