The USDCHF pair, currently trading at 0.86950, is gaining momentum to surpass the nearby resistance level of 0.8700 in anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s policy announcement.
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- USD/CHF is gathering strength to break above the immediate resistance of 0.8700 ahead of Fed policy.
The pair currently trades last at 0.86950.
The previous day high was 0.87 while the previous day low was 0.8638. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8676, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8661, expected to provide support.
The USD/CHF pair is facing delicate resistance near the round-level barricade of 0.8700 in the European session. The Swiss Franc asset is struggling in extending recovery ahead of the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which will be announced on Wednesday.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell is widely expected to elevate interest rates further to 5.25-5.50% as core inflation more than doubled the desired rate of 2%. However, investors will keenly watch interest rate guidance to know whether interest rates have peaked for now more steam left.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has printed a fresh intraday high above the crucial resistance of 101.40 as the Fed’s policy divergence is set to widen further with global central banks. Apart from the Fed’s policy, investors will focus on preliminary second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, which will release on Thursday at 12:30 GMT.
USD/CHF delivered a breakout of the inventory accumulation phase on a two-hour scale in which inventory is transferred from retail participants to institutional investors. The Swiss Franc asset also delivered a breakout of the consolidation formed in a 0.8638-0.8685 range and now testing the strength for a fresh rally.
The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.8675 is providing a cushion to the US Dollar bulls.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has jumped into the 60.00-80.00 range, which indicates that the bullish momentum has been triggered.
Going forward, a confident break above July 24 high at 0.8700 would drive the asset towards a 20-day EMA at 0.8750 followed by July 12 high around 0.8800.
In an alternate scenario, a breakdown below July 18 low at 0.8555 would expose the asset to a fresh eight-year low near round-level support at 0.8500. A slippage below the latter would further drag the asset toward Jun 2011 low at 0.8275.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDCHF currently trading at 0.8695 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.8697 and is trading with a change of -0.02 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.8695 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0002 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.0200 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.8697 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.8797, 50 SMA 0.8929, 100 SMA @ 0.8996 and 200 SMA @ 0.9212.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.8797 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.8929 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.8996 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.9212 |
The previous day high was 0.87 while the previous day low was 0.8638. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8676, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8661, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.8656, 0.8616, 0.8594
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.8719, 0.8741, 0.8781
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.8700 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.8638 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.8684 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.8555 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.9120 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.8902 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.8676 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.8661 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.8656 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.8616 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.8594 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.8719 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.8741 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.8781 |
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