The USDJPY currency pair at a value of 139.529 rebounds from its lowest point of the day, resulting in a reversal of its first daily decline in three days.

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The USDJPY currency pair at a value of 139.529 rebounds from its lowest point of the day, resulting in a reversal of its first daily decline in three days.

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  • USD/JPY bounces off intraday low to reverse the first daily loss in three.
  • Japan government cuts economic forecasts, PM Kishida advocates sustained exit from deflation.
  • Mixed concerns about Fed, unimpressive yields prod Yen pair buyers.
  • Japan Trade Balance improves in June, mid-tier US data eyed for fresh impulse.
  • The pair currently trades last at 139.529.

    The previous day high was 140.0 while the previous day low was 138.77. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 139.53, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 139.24, expected to provide support.

    USD/JPY picks up bids to reverse the early-day losses around 139.50 during the initial hour of Thursday’s European session.

    The Yen pair justifies recently downbeat macros, as well as news, surrounding Japan while failing to cheer the US Dollar weakness amid a sluggish trading day so far. That said, the Japanese government recently announced a downward revision of the Asian major’s Financial Year (FY) 2023-24 growth forecasts. In doing so, the policymakers in Tokyo anticipate the FY 2023-24 growth to be at 1.3% versus the previously expected 1.5%.

    On the contrary, Japan’s trade figures for June showed an upbeat Merchandise Trade Balance Total amid downbeat Imports and welcome prints of Exports.

    Elsewhere, Japan Prime Minister (PM) Fumio Kishida defends the dovish concerns about the Bank of Japan (BoJ) by showing readiness to create a society where wage hikes become a norm.

    It’s worth noting that the US Treasury bond yields trace mixed concerns about the Federal Reserve (Fed) despite a widely expected July rate hike. Also likely to exert downside pressure on the bond coupons is the market’s rush towards the US government bonds amid indecision.

    With this in mind, US Dollar Index (DXY) remains mildly offered around 100.25 while challenging a two-day rebound from the lowest level since April 2022. In doing so, the greenback justifies the previous day’s downbeat US housing data and mixed concerns about the Fed, as well as ignores the optimism at the US banks.

    Against this backdrop, the S&P500 Futures print mild losses whereas the US Treasury bond yields trade mixed at the weekly low.

    Looking ahead, Friday’s Japan inflation numbers will be crucial for the USD/JPY pair traders to watch before the next week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting announcements. Ahead of that, the mid-tier US employment and housing data will join the risk catalysts to entertain the Yen pair traders.

    Convergence of the previous support line from late March joins the 50-Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the daily chart to highlight 140.00-10 as the short-term key upside hurdle for the USD/JPY to cross to convince buyers.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDJPY currently trading at 139.63 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 139.61 and is trading with a change of 0.01% % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 139.63
    1 Today Daily Change 0.02
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.01%
    3 Today daily open 139.61

    The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 142.11, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 140.4 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 137.1 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 136.98

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 142.11
    1 Daily SMA50 140.40
    2 Daily SMA100 137.10
    3 Daily SMA200 136.98

    The previous day high was 140.0 while the previous day low was 138.77. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 139.53, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 139.24, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 138.92, 138.23, 137.69
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 140.15, 140.69, 141.38
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 140.00
    Previous Daily Low 138.77
    Previous Weekly High 143.00
    Previous Weekly Low 137.24
    Previous Monthly High 145.07
    Previous Monthly Low 138.43
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 139.53
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 139.24
    Daily Pivot Point S1 138.92
    Daily Pivot Point S2 138.23
    Daily Pivot Point S3 137.69
    Daily Pivot Point R1 140.15
    Daily Pivot Point R2 140.69
    Daily Pivot Point R3 141.38

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