The USDCHF currency pair dropped to 0.8555, reaching its lowest point since January 2015.

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The USDCHF currency pair dropped to 0.8555, reaching its lowest point since January 2015.

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  • USD/CHF fell to a low of 0.8555, its lowest level since January 2015.
  • US Retail Sales expanded in June but at a slower pace than expected.
  • Investors are confident that the Fed won’t hike past the July meeting.
  • The pair currently trades last at 0.85794.

    The previous day high was 0.8631 while the previous day low was 0.8578. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8598, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8611, expected to provide resistance.

    On Tuesday, the USD/CHF slid to its lowest level since January 22, 2015, amid soft Retail Sales figures from the US from June. Following soft inflation and economic data figures from the US, investors are refraining from betting on rate hikes by the Federal Reserve following the upcoming July meeting, weakening the USD.

    The US Census Bureau reported that the Retail Sales from June increased by 0.2%, missing the 0.5% expected and below the previous 0.5% monthly increase. Sales excluding the Automobile Sector also expanded but below the expectations at 0.2% vs the 0.3% expected by the Retail Sales Control Group, came in strong at 0.6% vs the 0.3% decline expected. In addition, Industrial production surprisingly decreased by 0.5% MoM while markets expected the figures to remain unchanged regarding the previous month.

    As economic activity weakens, the US markets expect the Federal Reserve to be taken off the pressure to continue hiking past July. For the next week’s meeting, 25 basis points (bps) is already priced in, but the odds of a hike in the rest of 2023 dropped to nearly 20% from last week’s 40%.

    On the Swiss side, the week’s highlight will be Trade Balance data from June, to be reported early in Thursday’s European session.

    According to the daily chart, the short-term USD/CHF outlook is bearish. However, indicators show oversold conditions, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) standing below conditions and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) printed a lower red bar, suggesting that an upwards correction may be on the horizon as bears are losing steam.

    Support levels: 0.8555,0.8550, 0.8375.
    Resistance levels: 0.8600,0.8670, 0.8700.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDCHF currently trading at 0.8577 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.8606 and is trading with a change of -0.34 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 0.8577
    1 Today Daily Change -0.0029
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.3400
    3 Today daily open 0.8606

    The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.8877, 50 SMA 0.8959, 100 SMA @ 0.9033 and 200 SMA @ 0.9246.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 0.8877
    1 Daily SMA50 0.8959
    2 Daily SMA100 0.9033
    3 Daily SMA200 0.9246

    The previous day high was 0.8631 while the previous day low was 0.8578. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8598, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8611, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 0.8579, 0.8553, 0.8527
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.8632, 0.8657, 0.8684
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 0.8631
    Previous Daily Low 0.8578
    Previous Weekly High 0.8918
    Previous Weekly Low 0.8566
    Previous Monthly High 0.9120
    Previous Monthly Low 0.8902
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.8598
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.8611
    Daily Pivot Point S1 0.8579
    Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8553
    Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8527
    Daily Pivot Point R1 0.8632
    Daily Pivot Point R2 0.8657
    Daily Pivot Point R3 0.8684

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