The USDCAD pair, trading at 1.31933, continues to face pressure around the 1.3180 level following the release of weaker-than-expected US inflation data.

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The USDCAD pair, trading at 1.31933, continues to face pressure around the 1.3180 level following the release of weaker-than-expected US inflation data.

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  • USD/CAD remains on the defensive near the 1.3180 mark after the softer US inflation data.
  • The Bank of Canada (BoC) raised the rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 5.0%, as expected.
  • The US inflation data supported the view about the last Fed hike at the July policy meeting.
  • The pair currently trades last at 1.31933.

    The previous day high was 1.3234 while the previous day low was 1.3144. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3178, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.32, expected to provide resistance.

    The USD/CAD pair extended the downside after the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and the Bank of Canada (BoC) policy decision on Wednesday. The pair remains under pressure and currently trades near 1.3180 in the early Asian session.

    Following the July policy meeting on Wednesday, the Bank of Canada (BoC) raised the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 5%, as the market expected. BoC Governor Tiff Macklem commented on the policy outlook that higher interest rates are necessary in order to slow demand growth in the economy and alleviate price pressures. He added that the BoC is likely to hike additional rates.

    The BoC’s decision to raise rates comes after the release of US inflation data for June. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics publication showed that CPI declined to 3% YoY from the 3.1% prior. Meanwhile, the core CPI fell to 4.8% YoY from 5.3% versus the market consensus of 5%. The US Dollar faced some follow-through selling after the data and sharply declined to near 101.50, the lowest since April 2022. The inflation data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates following an additional 25 bps raise at the July 25-26 policy meeting.

    Moving on, market participants will focus on the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for June and Unemployment Claims due later during the early North American session this Thursday. Investors will look for a fresh impetus and find trading opportunities around the USD/CAD pair.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDCAD currently trading at 1.3187 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.3188 and is trading with a change of 0.01 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 1.3187
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0001
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.0100
    3 Today daily open 1.3188

    The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.3228, 50 SMA 1.337, 100 SMA @ 1.348 and 200 SMA @ 1.3498.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 1.3228
    1 Daily SMA50 1.3370
    2 Daily SMA100 1.3480
    3 Daily SMA200 1.3498

    The previous day high was 1.3234 while the previous day low was 1.3144. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3178, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.32, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 1.3143, 1.3098, 1.3053
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.3233, 1.3279, 1.3323
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 1.3234
    Previous Daily Low 1.3144
    Previous Weekly High 1.3387
    Previous Weekly Low 1.3203
    Previous Monthly High 1.3585
    Previous Monthly Low 1.3117
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3178
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3200
    Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3143
    Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3098
    Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3053
    Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3233
    Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3279
    Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3323

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