Despite expectations from the Bank of England for an increase in interest rates, the EURGBP pair, currently at 0.85217, has shown significant strength, approaching the 0.8500 level.

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Despite expectations from the Bank of England for an increase in interest rates, the EURGBP pair, currently at 0.85217, has shown significant strength, approaching the 0.8500 level.

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  • EUR/GBP has picked strength near 0.8500 despite expectations of a higher interest rate peak from the BoE.
  • UK’s higher disposable income would allow households to make more purchasing and might allow inflation to remain sticky.
  • ECB Lagarde has already confirmed that further policy tightening is appropriate to tame stubborn inflation.
  • The pair currently trades last at 0.85217.

    The previous day high was 0.8561 while the previous day low was 0.8504. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8526, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8539, expected to provide resistance.

    The EUR/GBP pair has rebounded after building a base marginally above the round-level support of 0.8500 in the European session. For fetching immense strength in the recovery move, the cross is yet to pass plenty of filters.

    On Tuesday, the Pound Sterling went through a rough phase after the release of June’s labor market report. Claimant Count Change has jumped to 25.7K while there was a decline of 22.5K claims last month. Three-month Unemployment Rate has increased to 4.0% vs. the expectations and the former release of 3.8%.

    An economic indicator that has made Bank of England (BoE) policymakers and United Kingdom delegates uncomfortable is the steady three-month Average Earnings data. Average Earnings excluding bonuses maintained an ongoing pace at 7.3% while investors were anticipating a decline to 7.1%.

    Higher disposable income would allow households to make more purchasing and might allow inflationary pressures to remain sticky. Investors are anticipating that interest rates by the BoE would peak in a 6.25-6.50% range.

    Going forward, investors will focus on UK’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. Monthly Industrial Production and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) are expected to contract by 0.4%. And Manufacturing Production is seen contracting by 0.5%.

    On the Eurozone front, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Francois Villeroy de Galhau said on Tuesday that inflation will continue to decline and will be back at 2% by 2025.

    ECB President Christine Lagarde has already confirmed that further policy tightening is appropriate to tame stubborn inflation.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    EURGBP currently trading at 0.8521 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.8512 and is trading with a change of 0.11 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 0.8521
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0009
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.1100
    3 Today daily open 0.8512

    The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.8569, 50 SMA 0.8626, 100 SMA @ 0.872 and 200 SMA @ 0.8735.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 0.8569
    1 Daily SMA50 0.8626
    2 Daily SMA100 0.8720
    3 Daily SMA200 0.8735

    The previous day high was 0.8561 while the previous day low was 0.8504. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8526, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8539, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 0.849, 0.8469, 0.8433
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.8548, 0.8583, 0.8605
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 0.8561
    Previous Daily Low 0.8504
    Previous Weekly High 0.8606
    Previous Weekly Low 0.8521
    Previous Monthly High 0.8658
    Previous Monthly Low 0.8518
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.8526
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.8539
    Daily Pivot Point S1 0.8490
    Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8469
    Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8433
    Daily Pivot Point R1 0.8548
    Daily Pivot Point R2 0.8583
    Daily Pivot Point R3 0.8605

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