The currency pair USDINR is continuing to trade within a narrow range, with no significant upward or downward movement, for the past two weeks.

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The currency pair USDINR is continuing to trade within a narrow range, with no significant upward or downward movement, for the past two weeks.

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  • USD/INR extends its sideways consolidative price move in a two-week-old trading range.
  • Acceptance below the 200-day SMA supports prospects for a further depreciating move.
  • A sustained move above the trading range hurdle is needed to negate the negative bias.
  • The pair currently trades last at 82.0150.

    The previous day high was 82.103 while the previous day low was 81.9695. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 82.052, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 82.0205, expected to provide resistance.

    The USD/INR pair continues with its struggle to gain any meaningful traction and remains confined in a familiar trading band held over the past two weeks or so. Spot prices hold steady above the 82.00 mark through the Asian session on Thursday, though the technical setup seems tilted in favour of bearish traders.

    The subdued/range-bound price move constitutes the formation of a rectangle on the daily chart. Against the backdrop of the recent pullback from the vicinity of the 83.00 mark, this might still be categorized as a bearish consolidation phase. Moreover, acceptance below the very important 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), for the first time since January 2022, suggests that the path of least resistance for the USD/INR pair is to the downside.

    The negative outlook is reinforced by the fact that technical indicators on the daily chart are holding in the bearish territory and are still far from being in the oversold zone. That said, it will still be prudent to wait for a sustained break below the trading range support, around the 81.85 area, before positioning for any further downfall. The USD/INR pair might then slide to the 81.50 intermediate support before dropping to sub-81.00 levels or the YTD low.

    On the flip side, the trading range resistance, around the 82.15 region, which coincides with the 200-day SMA, might continue to act as an immediate strong barrier. A sustained strength beyond could negate the negative outlook and trigger some near-term short-covering rally. The momentum could then lift the USD/INR pair back towards the 82.70-82.75 intermediate hurdle, above which bulls are likely to make a fresh attempt to conquer the 83.00 mark.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDINR currently trading at 82.0515 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 82.0085 and is trading with a change of 0.05 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 82.0515
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0430
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.0500
    3 Today daily open 82.0085

    The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 82.1796, 50 SMA 82.2027, 100 SMA @ 82.2636 and 200 SMA @ 82.1421.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 82.1796
    1 Daily SMA50 82.2027
    2 Daily SMA100 82.2636
    3 Daily SMA200 82.1421

    The previous day high was 82.103 while the previous day low was 81.9695. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 82.052, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 82.0205, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 81.951, 81.8935, 81.8174
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 82.0845, 82.1606, 82.2181
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 82.1030
    Previous Daily Low 81.9695
    Previous Weekly High 82.1725
    Previous Weekly Low 81.8845
    Previous Monthly High 82.9810
    Previous Monthly Low 81.6435
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 82.0520
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 82.0205
    Daily Pivot Point S1 81.9510
    Daily Pivot Point S2 81.8935
    Daily Pivot Point S3 81.8174
    Daily Pivot Point R1 82.0845
    Daily Pivot Point R2 82.1606
    Daily Pivot Point R3 82.2181

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