On Tuesday, USDCAD at 1.32173 experiences difficulty in taking full advantage of its small increase during the day.

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On Tuesday, USDCAD at 1.32173 experiences difficulty in taking full advantage of its small increase during the day.

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  • USD/CAD struggles to capitalize on its modest intraday positive move on Tuesday.
  • An uptick in Oil prices underpins the Loonie and caps gains amid fresh USD selling.
  • Rising US bond yields, a softer risk tone helps limit losses for the buck and the major.
  • The pair currently trades last at 1.32173.

    The previous day high was 1.3229 while the previous day low was 1.3179. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.321, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3198, expected to provide support.

    The USD/CAD pair attracts some intraday sellers following an early uptick to the 1.3235-1.3240 area on Tuesday and retreats to the lower end of its daily range during the early European session. The pair currently trades just above the 1.3200 mark and remains well within the striking distance of its lowest level since September 2022 touched on Friday.

    The US Dollar (USD) struggles to capitalize on its modest intraday gains and for now, seems to have stalled its recent recovery from over a one-month low witnessed over the past two days. Adding to this, a modest uptick in Crude Oil prices underpins the commodity-linked Loonie and acts as a headwind for the USD/CAD pair. Despite the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish outlook, signalling that borrowing costs may still need to rise as much as 50 bps by the end of this year, investors seem convinced that the US central bank is nearing the end of its year-ling rate-hiking cycle. This, in turn, keeps a lid on any meaningful upside for the Greenback.

    The markets, however, are still pricing in another 25 bps lift-off at the July FOMC meeting, which triggers a fresh leg up in the US Treasury bond yields. This, along with a generally weaker tone around the equity markets, could lend some support to the safe-haven Greenback and help limit the downside for the USD/CAD pair, at least for the time being. The market sentiment remains fragile on the back of growing worries about a global economic slowdown, particularly in China. This, to a larger extent, overshadows an interest rate cut by the People’s Bank of China (PBoC), which tempers investors’ appetite for riskier assets and could benefit the buck.

    Traders might also refrain from placing aggressive bets and prefer to move to the sidelines ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s two-day congressional testimony, starting this Wednesday. Powell’s comments will be closely scrutinized for fresh clues about the Fed’s future rate-hike path, which, along with speeches by a slew of influential FOMC members, will play a key role in driving the USD demand this week. Traders this week will also confront the release of the flash PMI prints from the US. Apart from this, Oil price dynamics should contribute to producing some meaningful trading opportunities around the USD/CAD pair.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDCAD currently trading at 1.3213 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.321 and is trading with a change of 0.02 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 1.3213
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0003
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.0200
    3 Today daily open 1.3210

    The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.3428, 50 SMA 1.3463, 100 SMA @ 1.351 and 200 SMA @ 1.352.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 1.3428
    1 Daily SMA50 1.3463
    2 Daily SMA100 1.3510
    3 Daily SMA200 1.3520

    The previous day high was 1.3229 while the previous day low was 1.3179. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.321, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3198, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 1.3183, 1.3156, 1.3133
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.3233, 1.3256, 1.3282
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 1.3229
    Previous Daily Low 1.3179
    Previous Weekly High 1.3384
    Previous Weekly Low 1.3178
    Previous Monthly High 1.3655
    Previous Monthly Low 1.3315
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3210
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3198
    Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3183
    Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3156
    Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3133
    Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3233
    Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3256
    Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3282

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