GBPUSD is currently stagnant at a value of 1.27956 as it had previously bounced back from its 14-month peak.

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GBPUSD is currently stagnant at a value of 1.27956 as it had previously bounced back from its 14-month peak.

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  • GBP/USD remains sidelined after reversing from 14-month high.
  • Jump in UK government’s two-year borrowing cost propel hawkish BoE concerns.
  • Fed talks, mixed US data lures Pound Sterling bears as full markets return.
  • UK CPI, second-tier US data may entertain Cable traders ahead of BoE, Fed Chair Powell’s Testimony.
  • The pair currently trades last at 1.27956.

    The previous day high was 1.2837 while the previous day low was 1.277. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2796, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2812, expected to provide resistance.

    GBP/USD remains defensive near 1.2780 as it struggles to justify the hawkish concerns about the Bank of England (BoE) ahead of the UK’s inflation data. That said, the recently mixed concerns about the Federal Reserve (Fed) also prod the Pound Sterling traders as it struggles to extend the previous day’s U-turn from the highest levels since April 2022.

    Earlier in the day, The Times came out with the news suggesting that the UK government’s two-year borrowing costs have risen above 5% for the first time in 15 years amid mounting expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will lift interest rates again this week as it battles to contain inflation. The news also added that the Gilt yields, which move inversely to the British Pound prices, have soared in recent days as traders bet that Threadneedle Street will need to raise rates further and will keep them higher for longer than had been anticipated.

    On the other hand, the Fed monetary policy report, presented late Friday to the US Congress, joins the recent comments from the Fed officials to favor the US Dollar bulls. That said, the Fed policy report for Congress said, “Inflation in the US is well above target and the labor market remains very tight,” as per Reuters. Among the Fed talkers, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee and Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller were the important ones who appeared a bit hawkish of late.

    It’s worth noting that the fears of slower economic recovery in the UK join the US-China tension to weigh on the sentiment and put a floor under the US Dollar. While portraying the mood, S&P500 Futures print mild losses whereas the US 10-year and two-year Treasury bond yields grind near 3.82% and 4.75% respectively by the press time, after rising in the last two consecutive days.

    Looking ahead, the economic calendar appears mostly empty for the UK on Tuesday but the return of the full markets and the US housing numbers may entertain the GBP/USD pair traders. Above all, Wednesday’s UK inflation and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s bi-annual Testimony will be the key to determining near-term Cable pair moves.

    Although the overbought RSI (14) line restricts immediate GBP/USD upside, the Cable pair bears need validation from the six-month-old resistance-turned-support line of around 1.2770-65.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2795 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2792 and is trading with a change of 0.02% % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 1.2795
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0003
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.02%
    3 Today daily open 1.2792

    The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.2513, 50 SMA 1.25, 100 SMA @ 1.2328 and 200 SMA @ 1.2051.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 1.2513
    1 Daily SMA50 1.2500
    2 Daily SMA100 1.2328
    3 Daily SMA200 1.2051

    The previous day high was 1.2837 while the previous day low was 1.277. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2796, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2812, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 1.2762, 1.2733, 1.2696
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2829, 1.2866, 1.2896
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 1.2837
    Previous Daily Low 1.2770
    Previous Weekly High 1.2848
    Previous Weekly Low 1.2487
    Previous Monthly High 1.2680
    Previous Monthly Low 1.2308
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2796
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2812
    Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2762
    Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2733
    Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2696
    Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2829
    Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2866
    Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2896

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