During the early European session, the USDJPY fluctuates between slight increases and minor decreases. Currently standing at 141.899.
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- USD/JPY seesaws between tepid gains/minor losses through the early European session.
The pair currently trades last at 141.899.
The previous day high was 142.0 while the previous day low was 141.44. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 141.79, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 141.66, expected to provide support.
The USD/JPY pair reverses an intraday dip and trades around the 142.00 mark during the early European session, just below its highest level since November 2022 touched earlier this Tuesday.
The Japanese (JPY) continues with its relative underperformance in the wake of a big divergence in the monetary policy stance adopted by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and other major central banks, including the US Federal Reserve (Fed). It is worth recalling that the BoJ on Friday kept intact its view that inflation will slow later this year, underscoring its focus on supporting a fragile economic recovery on the back of global uncertainty. This, in turn, assists the USD/JPY pair to attract fresh buyers near the 141.60-141.55 region and edge higher for the fourth straight day. This also marks the seventh day of an uptick in the previous eight and is further supported by a modest US Dollar (USD) strength.
The Federal Reserve (Fed) last week signalled that borrowing costs may still need to rise as much as 50 bps by the end of this year. The markets were quick to react and are now pricing in another 25 bps lift-off at the July FOMC meeting. This, in turn, triggers a fresh leg up in the US Treasury bond yields, which allows the USD to capitalize on its recent recovery from over a one-month low touched last Friday and further acts as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. That said, a generally weaker tone around the equity markets lends some support to the safe-haven JPY. Apart from this, slightly overstretched technical indicators on the daily chart hold back bulls from placing fresh bets around the major.
Investors also prefer to move to the sidelined and await Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s two-day congressional testimony starting this Wednesday, which will be looked for fresh clues about the future rate-hike path. This, along with scheduled speeches by a slew of influential FOMC members, will play a key role in driving the USD demand and provide a fresh impetus to the USD/JPY pair. Nevertheless, the aforementioned fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the upside and any meaningful corrective fall might still be seen as a buying opportunity.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDJPY currently trading at 142.12 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 141.97 and is trading with a change of 0.11 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 142.12 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.15 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.11 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 141.97 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 139.94, 50 SMA 137.07, 100 SMA @ 135.13 and 200 SMA @ 137.23.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 139.94 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 137.07 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 135.13 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 137.23 |
The previous day high was 142.0 while the previous day low was 141.44. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 141.79, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 141.66, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 141.61, 141.24, 141.05
- Pivot resistance is noted at 142.17, 142.37, 142.73
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 142.00 |
| Previous Daily Low | 141.44 |
| Previous Weekly High | 141.92 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 139.01 |
| Previous Monthly High | 140.93 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 133.50 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 141.79 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 141.66 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 141.61 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 141.24 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 141.05 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 142.17 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 142.37 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 142.73 |
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