On Thursday, there was some selling pressure on #AUDUSD @ 0.67847, but the potential decline was constrained.

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On Thursday, there was some selling pressure on #AUDUSD @ 0.67847, but the potential decline was constrained.

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  • AUD/USD comes under some selling pressure on Thursday, though the downside remains limited.
  • The Fed’s signal that rates will increase further in 2023 underpins the USD and exerts pressure.
  • The upbeat Australian jobs data reaffirms RBA’s hawkish outlook and helps limit the downside.
  • The pair currently trades last at 0.67847.

    The previous day high was 0.6836 while the previous day low was 0.6756. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6805, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6786, expected to provide resistance.

    The AUD/USD pair extends the previous day’s retracement slide from the 0.6835 region, or the highest level since February 23 and drifts lower through the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices, however, manage to recover a few pips from the daily low touched in the last hour and bounce to the 0.6785-0.6790 region following the better-than-expected release of the Australian jobs report.

    The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported that the number of employed people rose by 75.9K in May as compared to consensus estimates pointing to a reading of 15K and the loss of 4.3K in the previous month. Additional details revealed that the jobless rate unexpectedly ticked lower to 3.6% from 3.7% in April. This comes on the back of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s hawkish 25 bps lift-off last week, which, in turn, benefits the Australian Dollar (AUD) and lends support to the AD/USD pair.

    Spot prices, however, remain in the negative territory in the wake of a modest US Dollar (USD) strength, bolstered by the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) signal that borrowing costs will increase by another 50 bps by end-December. It is worth recalling that the US central bank, as anticipated, held interest rates steady at the end of a two-day policy meeting on Wednesday, though showed the intent to resume its policy tightening cycle and lifted bets for another 25 bps hike at the July FOMC policy meeting.

    Apart from this, worries about a global economic downturn, particularly in China, might contribute to capping the upside for the AUD/USD pair, at least for the time being. Hence, the market focus now shifts to the Chinese macro data dump – Industrial Production, Retails Sales, Fixed Asset Investment and Unemployment Rate, due in a short while from now. Later during the early North American session, traders will take cues from the US economic docket – featuring Retail Sales, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, the Empire State Manufacturing Index, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index and Industrial Production figures.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    AUDUSD currently trading at 0.677 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6796 and is trading with a change of -0.38 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 0.6770
    1 Today Daily Change -0.0026
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.3800
    3 Today daily open 0.6796

    The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 0.6627, 50 SMA 0.6664, 100 SMA @ 0.6732 and 200 SMA @ 0.6691.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 0.6627
    1 Daily SMA50 0.6664
    2 Daily SMA100 0.6732
    3 Daily SMA200 0.6691

    The previous day high was 0.6836 while the previous day low was 0.6756. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6805, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6786, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 0.6756, 0.6716, 0.6676
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6836, 0.6875, 0.6915
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 0.6836
    Previous Daily Low 0.6756
    Previous Weekly High 0.6751
    Previous Weekly Low 0.6579
    Previous Monthly High 0.6818
    Previous Monthly Low 0.6458
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6805
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6786
    Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6756
    Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6716
    Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6676
    Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6836
    Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6875
    Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6915

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