#EURUSD @ 1.08059 bears are in the market, testing 1.0800. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- EUR/USD bears are in the market, testing 1.0800.
- The Fed and US debt ceiling remains the key focus.
The pair currently trades last at 1.08059.
The previous day high was 1.0831 while the previous day low was 1.0796. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0818, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0809, expected to provide resistance.
EUR/USD fell at the start of the week and remained on the back foot on Monday with the price testing the 1.08 level within a phase of consolidation for the main part. EUR/USD is down nearly 2% for the month reversing two straight months of gain while the US Dollar stays firm on the expectations grew that US rates will remain higher for longer.
The focus was on a chorus of Federal Reserve speakers at the start of the week with some hinting that the central bank still has more to go in tightening monetary policy. Firstly, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari argued that US rates may have to go “north of 6%” and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said that the central bank may still need to raise by 0.5%.
The US Dollar is solid as money markets are pricing in a roughly 26% chance that the Fed will deliver another 25-basis-point rate hike next month. Also, expectations of interest rate cuts later this year have also been scaled back, with rates seen holding at around 4.7% by December.
Elsewhere, the debt ceiling deadline in the United States remains a concern. President Joe Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy ended discussions on Monday with no headway made on how to raise the U.S. government’s $31.4 trillion debt ceiling and will keep talking with just 10 days before a possible default. ´´With the June 1 x-date rapidly approaching, markets will look for signs of progress on a debt ceiling deal,´´ analysts at TD Securities said.
While there have been positive overtures from both sides, the work is not yet complete. markets appear to be assuming that negotiations are a done deal, suggesting that any souring in tone as negotiations play out could upset risk sentiment,´´ the analysts added.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 1.0804 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0813 and is trading with a change of -0.08 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0804 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0009 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.0800 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0813 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.0941, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.0896 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.0809 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.047
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.0941 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.0896 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0809 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0470 |
The previous day high was 1.0831 while the previous day low was 1.0796. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0818, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0809, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0795, 1.0777, 1.0759
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0831, 1.0849, 1.0867
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0831 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0796 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.0904 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0760 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.1095 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0788 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0818 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0809 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0795 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0777 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0759 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0831 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.0849 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.0867 |
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