#USDCHF @ 0.89115 fades bounce off intraday low, extends previous day’s pullback from two-week high., @nehcap view: Further weakness expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USD/CHF fades bounce off intraday low, extends previous day’s pullback from two-week high.
- Oversold RSI, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement prod Swiss Franc buyers.
- Clear downside break of one-week-old ascending trend line, 200-HMA suggest pair’s further fall amid bearish MACD signals.
The pair currently trades last at 0.89115.
The previous day high was 0.8995 while the previous day low was 0.8924. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8951, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8968, expected to provide resistance.
USD/CHF holds lower grounds near the intraday bottom of 0.8907, retreating of late, as bears keep the reins for the second consecutive day heading into Wednesday’s European session.
In doing so, the Swiss Franc (CHF) pair extends the previous day’s U-turn from the highest level in a week.
That said, the bearish bias takes clues from the downbeat MACD conditions and a clear break of the previous support line stretched from April 26, as well as sustained trading below the 200-Hour Moving Average (HMA).
However, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of April 19-26 fall, near 0.8910, joins the nearly oversold RSI (14) line to challenge the USD/CHF bears.
Hence, the USD/CHF pair is likely to decline further but the fresh selling may wait for a successful trading below 0.8910.
Following that, the 0.8900 round figure may act as an extra filter toward the south before directing the bears toward the previous monthly low of around 0.8850, also the lowest level since January 2021.
Should the Swiss Franc pair remains bearish past 0.8850, the 0.8800 round figure and the year 2021 low of near 0.8755 can lure the sellers.
On the flip side, USD/CHF recovery needs validation from the 200-HMA and the support-turned-resistance line, respectively near 0.8925 and 0.8950.
Even so, multiple hurdles near 0.8970 and the 0.9000 psychological magnet can prod the pair buyers before giving them control.
Trend: Further weakness expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDCHF currently trading at 0.8912 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.8932 and is trading with a change of -0.22% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.8912 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0020 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.22% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.8932 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.8967, 50 SMA 0.9145, 100 SMA @ 0.9196 and 200 SMA @ 0.9441.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.8967 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.9145 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.9196 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.9441 |
The previous day high was 0.8995 while the previous day low was 0.8924. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8951, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8968, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.8905, 0.8879, 0.8834
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.8977, 0.9021, 0.9048
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.8995 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.8924 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.8976 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.8852 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.9198 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.8852 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.8951 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.8968 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.8905 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.8879 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.8834 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.8977 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.9021 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.9048 |
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