#GBPUSD @ 1.25566 stays positive following the Federal Reserve’s “dovish” interest rate hike. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD stays positive following the Federal Reserve’s “dovish” interest rate hike.
- Federal Reserve officials voted unanimously for a 25 bps rate hike.
- Policymakers dropped some hawkish language, perceived as a signal that the Fed could pause.
The pair currently trades last at 1.25566.
The previous day high was 1.2512 while the previous day low was 1.2436. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2465, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2483, expected to provide support.
The GBP/USD rallied sharply to a fresh YTD high at 1.2589 on the back of a 25 bps interest rate increase by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which dropped “hawkish” language, adopting a more neutral stance. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD remains volatile, trading at around 1.2560-1.2590, with gains close to 0.80%.
To highlight, Federal Reserve officials voted unanimously for a quarter of a percent increase to the Federal Funds Rate (FFR). They switched the language from “anticipating that some additional policy firm may be appropriate…” to “determining the extent to which additional policy firming may be appropriate,” policymakers would assess their decisions based on the economy, inflation, and the financial markets behavior.
Powell and Co. added that tightening credit conditions would help the Fed to achieve its goal. They emphasized the resilience and soundness of the banking system and added that inflation remains high and the labor market tight. Concerning the QT, the balance sheet reduction would continue as planned.
After the Federal Reserve’s decision, US rate futures show traders are pricing in rate cuts in September, according to Reuters.
The GBP/USD climbed sharply but has retraced some gains as the Federal Reserve Chai Jerome Powell’s press conference begins. The 1-hour chart portrays the GBP/USD as forming a gravestone doji, which could suggest further downside estimates. Nevertheless, GBP/USD traders better buckled up; as volatility increases, it could trigger some action.
GBP/USD key resistance levels lie at 1.2550, 1.2589, and 1.2600. On the flip side, the GBP/USD would find support at 1.2510, the 20-hour SMA, followed by the 1.25 figure, ahead of dropping towards the 50-hour SMA at 1.2492.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2566 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2467 and is trading with a change of 0.79 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.2566 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0099 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.7900 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.2467 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.2453, 50 SMA 1.2267, 100 SMA @ 1.2215 and 200 SMA @ 1.1944.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.2453 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.2267 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.2215 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.1944 |
The previous day high was 1.2512 while the previous day low was 1.2436. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2465, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2483, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.2431, 1.2395, 1.2355
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2508, 1.2548, 1.2584
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.2512 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.2436 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.2584 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.2387 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2584 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.2275 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.2465 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.2483 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.2431 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.2395 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.2355 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.2508 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.2548 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.2584 |
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