#AUDNZD @ 1.08294 has soared to 1.0830 as RBA has hiked rates by 25 bps against the anticipation of a neutral monetary policy. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#AUDNZD @ 1.08294 has soared to 1.0830 as RBA has hiked rates by 25 bps against the anticipation of a neutral monetary policy. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • AUD/NZD has soared to 1.0830 as RBA has hiked rates by 25 bps against the anticipation of a neutral monetary policy.
  • The RBA cited that further policy tightening was needed to anchor inflation expectations.
  • A sustained pace in the NZ Employment cost index could force the RBNZ to remain hawkish ahead.

The pair currently trades last at 1.08294.

The previous day high was 1.0766 while the previous day low was 1.0688. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0736, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0717, expected to provide support.

The AUD/NZD pair has witnessed stellar buying interest after a surprise announcement of 25 basis points (bps) interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). An interest rate hike of 25 bps has pushed the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 3.85%.

In the commentary, RBA stated that further policy-tightening was needed to anchor inflation expectations and the central bank is sticking to its agenda of achieving price stability.

The street was anticipating a continuation of the neutral policy stance by RBA Governor Philip Lowe as Australia’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) is consecutively declining for the past three months. From the historic high of 8.4%, monthly Australian inflation has already trimmed to 6.3% in March. In April’s monetary policy, RBA policymakers announced that the Australian economy would slow down further, which will weigh heavily on inflationary pressures.

Going forward, investors will shift their focus on Australian Trade Balance (March) data, which will release on Thursday. Monthly Trade Balance data is seen declining 12,750M from the former release of 13,870M. A weaker-than-anticipated Trade Balance data would impact the Australian Dollar.

On the New Zealand Dollar front, first-quarter Employment data will be keenly watched. The street is anticipating a steady Employment Change at 0.2%. While the Unemployment Rate is seen rising to 3.5% from the former release of 3.4%.

Apart from them, the quarterly Labor Cost Index is seen unchanged at 1.1%. And annual earnings data is expected to accelerate to 4.6% vs. the prior release of 4.3%. A sustained pace in the Employment cost index could force the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to remain hawkish ahead.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDNZD currently trading at 1.0829 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0753 and is trading with a change of 0.71 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 1.0829
1 Today Daily Change 0.0076
2 Today Daily Change % 0.7100
3 Today daily open 1.0753

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.0772, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.0783 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.0806 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.0938

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 1.0772
1 Daily SMA50 1.0783
2 Daily SMA100 1.0806
3 Daily SMA200 1.0938

The previous day high was 1.0766 while the previous day low was 1.0688. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0736, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0717, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 1.0705, 1.0658, 1.0627
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0783, 1.0814, 1.0861
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 1.0766
Previous Daily Low 1.0688
Previous Weekly High 1.0909
Previous Weekly Low 1.0683
Previous Monthly High 1.0931
Previous Monthly Low 1.0588
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0736
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0717
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0705
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0658
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0627
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0783
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0814
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0861

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