#AUDNZD @ 1.08294 has soared to 1.0830 as RBA has hiked rates by 25 bps against the anticipation of a neutral monetary policy. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
…
This is a premium post.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level4)]Please register for FREE REGISTER to read full post below containing analysis. In case of any error or you think you are not able to read the full post below, please email us at support#nehcap.com [lwa][/s2If] [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]
- AUD/NZD has soared to 1.0830 as RBA has hiked rates by 25 bps against the anticipation of a neutral monetary policy.
- The RBA cited that further policy tightening was needed to anchor inflation expectations.
- A sustained pace in the NZ Employment cost index could force the RBNZ to remain hawkish ahead.
The pair currently trades last at 1.08294.
The previous day high was 1.0766 while the previous day low was 1.0688. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0736, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0717, expected to provide support.
The AUD/NZD pair has witnessed stellar buying interest after a surprise announcement of 25 basis points (bps) interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). An interest rate hike of 25 bps has pushed the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 3.85%.
In the commentary, RBA stated that further policy-tightening was needed to anchor inflation expectations and the central bank is sticking to its agenda of achieving price stability.
The street was anticipating a continuation of the neutral policy stance by RBA Governor Philip Lowe as Australia’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) is consecutively declining for the past three months. From the historic high of 8.4%, monthly Australian inflation has already trimmed to 6.3% in March. In April’s monetary policy, RBA policymakers announced that the Australian economy would slow down further, which will weigh heavily on inflationary pressures.
Going forward, investors will shift their focus on Australian Trade Balance (March) data, which will release on Thursday. Monthly Trade Balance data is seen declining 12,750M from the former release of 13,870M. A weaker-than-anticipated Trade Balance data would impact the Australian Dollar.
On the New Zealand Dollar front, first-quarter Employment data will be keenly watched. The street is anticipating a steady Employment Change at 0.2%. While the Unemployment Rate is seen rising to 3.5% from the former release of 3.4%.
Apart from them, the quarterly Labor Cost Index is seen unchanged at 1.1%. And annual earnings data is expected to accelerate to 4.6% vs. the prior release of 4.3%. A sustained pace in the Employment cost index could force the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to remain hawkish ahead.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDNZD currently trading at 1.0829 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0753 and is trading with a change of 0.71 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0829 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0076 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.7100 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0753 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.0772, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.0783 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.0806 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.0938
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.0772 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.0783 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0806 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0938 |
The previous day high was 1.0766 while the previous day low was 1.0688. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0736, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0717, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0705, 1.0658, 1.0627
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0783, 1.0814, 1.0861
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0766 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0688 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.0909 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0683 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.0931 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0588 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0736 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0717 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0705 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0658 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0627 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0783 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.0814 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.0861 |
[/s2If]
Nehcap Expert Advisor
The NEHCAP MT4 EA is high quality professional trading system geared to generate returns without using GRID or martingales. Each trade has strict risk per trade parameter. The pairs under management include EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDCAD, AUDNZD,GBPAUD, EURAUD, EURCAD, CHFJPY and many more.
The system is trading live: LIVE ACCOUNT TRACKING
You can run it free. Apply for a free trial and track our account. Buy the system or use profit share mechanism to generate returns on your MT4.
Join Our Telegram Group




