#USDINR @ 81.7870 buyers prod eight-day-old descending resistance line while defending Friday’s corrective bounce., @nehcap view: Limited upside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• USD/INR buyers prod eight-day-old descending resistance line while defending Friday’s corrective bounce.
• Gradually improving RSI conditions back late rebound but key SMAs challenge Indian Rupee sellers.
• Two-month-old support area appears a tough nut to crack for USD/INR bears.

The pair currently trades last at 81.7870.

The previous day high was 81.8705 while the previous day low was 81.7044. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 81.7679, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 81.8071, expected to provide resistance.

USD/INR snaps three-day downtrend during a holiday-driven illiquid trading session on early Monday. In doing so, the Indian Rupee (INR) pair jostles with a one-week-old downward-sloping trend line resistance following a sustained bounce off a seven-week-old horizontal support zone.

Given the sluggish MACD signals and a gradually improving RSI (14) line, the USD/INR price is likely to mark another attempt in crossing the aforementioned trend line resistance, around 81.80 by the press time.

However, the 100-SMA and the 200-SMA, respectively near 81.95 and 82.10, could challenge the USD/INR bulls afterward.

Even so, a five-week-old falling resistance line, near 82.40 by the press time, could challenge the Indian Rupee sellers before giving them control.

Meanwhile, USD/INR pullback may find multiple supports near 81.65, a break of which will highlight a seven-week-old horizontal support zone near 81.50 for the pair sellers to watch.

In a case where the Indian Rupee buyers dominate past 81.50, the odds of witnessing the pair’s slump towards the 81.00 round figure and then to the Year-To-Date (YTD) low surrounding 80.90 can’t be ruled out.

Overall, USD/INR consolidates recent losses amid holidays in India.

Trend: Limited upside expected

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

USDINR currently trading at 81.7875 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 81.7254 and is trading with a change of 0.08% % .

The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 81.9556, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 82.2116 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 82.2326 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 81.5734

The previous day high was 81.8705 while the previous day low was 81.7044. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 81.7679, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 81.8071, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 81.6631, 81.6007, 81.497
• Pivot resistance is noted at 81.8291, 81.9328, 81.9952

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