#GBPUSD @ 1.25589 is looking to capture 1.2600 despite an extended recovery in the US Dollar Index. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• GBP/USD is looking to capture 1.2600 despite an extended recovery in the US Dollar Index.
• Resilience in US consumer spending for core goods and services supports more rate hikes from the Fed.
• UK’s inflationary pressures are showing no signs of deceleration amid a labor shortage and consistently elevating food prices.

The pair currently trades last at 1.25589.

The previous day high was 1.2584 while the previous day low was 1.2446. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2531, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2499, expected to provide support.

The GBP/USD pair is aiming to claim the round-level resistance of 1.2600 in the Asian session. The Cable has corrected marginally after failing to sustain above 1.2580. However, the scale of correction in the Cable is critically low in comparison with the recovery in the US Dollar Index (DXY), which indicates that Pound Sterling is holding some strength.

S&P500 futures have trimmed losses generated in early Asia as investors are focusing again on solid quarterly results reported by United States tech-savvy companies. A recovery in the risk appetite of the market participants is expected to improve the appeal for risk-perceived assets.

The USD Index is facing barricades in extending its recovery above 101.80. The greenback index slipped sharply on Friday despite a consistent increase in consumer spending. March’s core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index landed at 0.3%, consistent with consensus and the former release. Resilience in spending outlays for core goods and services indicates that inflation would remain persistent and the Federal Reserve (Fed) is needed to stay affirmed on its path of policy-tightening.

On Monday, US ISM Manufacturing PMI data will be in focus. Investors are anticipating mild gains in PMI figures to 46.6 vs. the prior release of 46.3. New Orders Index data that indicates forward demand is expected to jump to 45.5 from the former release of 44.3.

On the Pound Sterling front, the street is anticipating that the Bank of England (BoE) will keep its policy-tightening spell continuing to arrest United Kingdom’s double-digit inflation figure. UK’s inflationary pressures are extremely stubborn and showing no signs of deceleration amid a labor shortage and consistently elevating food prices.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2557 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2569 and is trading with a change of -0.1 % .

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.2451, 50 SMA 1.2251, 100 SMA @ 1.2212 and 200 SMA @ 1.194.

The previous day high was 1.2584 while the previous day low was 1.2446. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2531, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2499, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 1.2482, 1.2396, 1.2345
• Pivot resistance is noted at 1.262, 1.267, 1.2757

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