#EURGBP @ 0.88391 scales higher for the second straight day and climbs back closer to the weekly high. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#EURGBP @ 0.88391 scales higher for the second straight day and climbs back closer to the weekly high. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • EUR/GBP scales higher for the second straight day and climbs back closer to the weekly high.
  • The dismal UK Retail Sales data is weighing on the GBP and acts as a tailwind for the cross.
  • The mixed PMI prints from the Eurozone and the UK fail to provide any meaningful impetus.

The pair currently trades last at 0.88391.

The previous day high was 0.8826 while the previous day low was 0.8801. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8816, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8811, expected to provide support.

The EUR/GBP cross gains positive traction for the second successive day on Friday and touches a four-day high, around the 0.8840-0.8845 region during the first half of the European session.

The British Pound’s relative underperformance on the last day of the week follows the disappointing release of the UK monthly Retail Sales figures and the mixed UK PMI prints. In fact, the UK Office for National Statistics reported that domestic Retail Sales contracted by 0.9% in March and sales excluding fuel dropped by 1% during the reported month, both missing consensus estimates.

Adding to this, the flash UK Manufacturing PMI delivers a negative surprise and drops further into contraction territory, to 46.6 in April. The weaker reading, to a larger extent, was offset by the better-than-expected Services PMI, which rose to 54.9 in April. This, however, fails to impress the GBP bulls or hinder the intraday positive move for the EUR/GBP cross, at least for the time being.

The shared currency, on the other hand, reacts little to the preliminary Eurozone PMI print. The data, meanwhile, indicated that the Eurozone economy is holding up fairly, which should allow the European Central Bank to push forward with its policy tightening. This, in turn, is seen as another factor pushing the EUR/GBP cross higher and remains supportive of the move up.

That said, rising bets for an additional interest rate hike by the Bank of England (BoE) might hold back traders from placing aggressive bullish bets around the EUR/GBP cross. In fact, the markets now see over a 90% chance of a 25-bps rate hike in May and the bets were lifted by the stronger UK consumer inflation figures released on Thursday. This, in turn, could cap any further gains.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

EURGBP currently trading at 0.8838 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.8817 and is trading with a change of 0.24 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.8838
1 Today Daily Change 0.0021
2 Today Daily Change % 0.2400
3 Today daily open 0.8817

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 0.8797, 50 SMA 0.882, 100 SMA @ 0.88 and 200 SMA @ 0.8712.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.8797
1 Daily SMA50 0.8820
2 Daily SMA100 0.8800
3 Daily SMA200 0.8712

The previous day high was 0.8826 while the previous day low was 0.8801. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8816, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8811, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.8804, 0.879, 0.8779
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.8828, 0.8839, 0.8852
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.8826
Previous Daily Low 0.8801
Previous Weekly High 0.8860
Previous Weekly Low 0.8763
Previous Monthly High 0.8925
Previous Monthly Low 0.8718
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.8816
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.8811
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.8804
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8790
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8779
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.8828
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.8839
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.8852

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