#USDCHF @ 0.89545 extends the overnight slide from a one-week high and drifts lower on Thursday. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#USDCHF @ 0.89545 extends the overnight slide from a one-week high and drifts lower on Thursday. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • USD/CHF extends the overnight slide from a one-week high and drifts lower on Thursday.
  • The risk-off impulse benefits the safe-haven CHF and exerts some pressure on the major.
  • Retreating US bond yields weighs on the USD and contributes to the intraday selling bias.

The pair currently trades last at 0.89545.

The previous day high was 0.9003 while the previous day low was 0.8958. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8986, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8975, expected to provide resistance.

The USD/CHF pair comes under heavy selling pressure on Thursday and extends the previous day’s late pullback from a one-week high, around the 0.9000 psychological mark. The pair maintains its offered tone through the first half of the European session and is currently placed around the 0.8940 region, near the lower end of its weekly trading range.

A generally weaker tone around the equity markets – amid worries about economic headwinds stemming from rising borrowing costs – benefits the safe-haven Swiss Franc (CHF). The anti-risk flow, meanwhile, triggers a sharp intraday downfall in the US Treasury bond yields, which keeps the US Dollar (USD) bulls on the defensive and contributes to the offered tone surrounding the USD/CHF pair.

Any meaningful downside for the USD, however, seems limited amid growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue raising interest rates. In fact, the markets seem convinced that the US central bank will hike rates by 25 bps in May and have been pricing in a small chance of another lift-off in June. This should act as a tailwind for the US bond yields and help revive the USD demand.

The aforementioned fundamental backdrop, meanwhile, warrants caution before positioning for any further depreciating move. now look to the US economic docket, featuring Weekly Initial Jobless Claim, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index and Existing Home Sales data. This, along with speeches by Fedspeaks and the US bond yields, will drive the USD demand and provide some impetus to the USD/CHF pair.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

USDCHF currently trading at 0.8942 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.8975 and is trading with a change of -0.37 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.8942
1 Today Daily Change -0.0033
2 Today Daily Change % -0.3700
3 Today daily open 0.8975

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.9069, 50 SMA 0.9201, 100 SMA @ 0.9237 and 200 SMA @ 0.9476.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.9069
1 Daily SMA50 0.9201
2 Daily SMA100 0.9237
3 Daily SMA200 0.9476

The previous day high was 0.9003 while the previous day low was 0.8958. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8986, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8975, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.8954, 0.8934, 0.8909
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.9, 0.9024, 0.9045
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.9003
Previous Daily Low 0.8958
Previous Weekly High 0.9114
Previous Weekly Low 0.8860
Previous Monthly High 0.9440
Previous Monthly Low 0.9072
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.8986
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.8975
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.8954
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8934
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8909
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9000
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9024
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9045

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