WTI is held up in resistance near $81bbls. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- WTI is held up in resistance near $81bbls.
- Short squeeze orchestrated by the OPEC+ cuts could be running out of steam.
The pair currently trades last at 80.89.
The previous day high was 82.61 while the previous day low was 80.45. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 81.28, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 81.79, expected to provide resistance.
West Texas Intermediate, WTI, crude oil was higher on Tuesday and reached $83.08bbls after traveling from a low of $81.80bbls. At the time of writing, Wednesday early Asia, the black gold is trading at $80.86bbls and down on yesterday by some 2%.
Nevertheless, the Oil price rallied overnight on the back of China reporting a 4.5% rise in its first-quarter Gross Domestic Product and on the back of a softer US Dollar that was thrown into a bearish correction.
However, demand concerns persist on the other side of the Pacific and wider Asian nations where demand is dwindling over concerns about inflation and a looming recession.
´´The fact that its economy is growing at its fastest pace in a year should buoyed well for demand in coming months. However, this is being offset by weakness elsewhere. Plunging crack spreads for diesel and jet fuel suggest global demand is soft,´´ analysts at ANZ Bank explained.
´´This is blunting the impact of OPEC’s recent decision to cut output. Outside of OPEC, there are signs of growth. Russian crude exports bounced back above 3mb/d this week. The Energy Information Administration also raised its forecast for US shale. It now expects output to reach 9.28mb/d in April,´´ the analysts added.
Meanwhile, analysts at TD Securities explained that ´´the significant short squeeze orchestrated by the OPEC+ cuts could be running out of steam, but marginal buying activity in WTI crude could temporarily put a halt to the bleeding, keeping prices locked in a tight range.´´
´´Importantly,´´ the analysts said, ´´the production curtailments still underscore our view that the West is losing control over commodity pricing, with significant long-term implications for pricing, geopolitics, inflation and currencies.´´
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XTIUSD currently trading at 80.89 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 80.95 and is trading with a change of -0.07 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 80.89 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.06 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.07 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 80.95 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 76.41, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 76.29 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 76.97 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 82.49
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 76.41 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 76.29 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 76.97 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 82.49 |
The previous day high was 82.61 while the previous day low was 80.45. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 81.28, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 81.79, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 80.06, 79.18, 77.9
- Pivot resistance is noted at 82.22, 83.5, 84.38
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 82.61 |
| Previous Daily Low | 80.45 |
| Previous Weekly High | 83.40 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 79.40 |
| Previous Monthly High | 80.99 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 64.39 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 81.28 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 81.79 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 80.06 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 79.18 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 77.90 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 82.22 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 83.50 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 84.38 |
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