#AUDJPY @ 88.8030 is approaching 89.00 as BoJ Ueda has supported the continuation of expansionary policy. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• AUD/JPY is approaching 89.00 as BoJ Ueda has supported the continuation of expansionary policy.
• Acceleration in China’s inflation figures would boost hopes of an economic recovery in China.
• Higher rates from the RBA are expected to soften Australian Employment.

The pair currently trades last at 88.8030.

The previous day high was 88.76 while the previous day low was 87.92. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 88.44, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 88.24, expected to provide support.

The AUD/JPY pair is aiming to capture the critical resistance of 89.00 in the Asian session. The risk barometer is meaningfully rising since Monday after the novel Bank of Japan (BoJ) favored the continuation of a decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy to safeguard the Japanese economy from the cascading effects of a global slowdown.

Considering optimism in AUD/USD, the AUD/JPY pair is following the footprints. The Australian Dollar is likely to remain volatile ahead of the release of China’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. As per the estimates, the annual inflation figure would remain stable at 1%. The monthly CPI figure is expected to accelerate by 0.1% vs. a deflation of 0.5% recorded in February.

This gives hope for an economic recovery in China as investors are losing faith in the economic prospects of China despite the dismantling of pandemic controls. A recovery in retail demand would also infuse confidence among firms for deploying more capacity for production. Investors should be aware of the fact that Australia is the leading trading partner of China and a recovery in China will also strengthen the Australian Dollar.

Later this week, Australia’s Employment data will be keenly watched. According to the estimates, the Australian economy added fresh 20K jobs in March lower than the former release of 64.6K. Also, the Unemployment Rate will increase to 3.6% from the prior release of 3.5%. It looks like higher rates from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) are softening the demand for labor. RBA Governor Philip Lowe has already commented that the Australian economy will slow further due to higher interest rates and inflation will soften further.

Meanwhile, “Australia’s Treasurer Jim Chalmers warned of ‘complex and confronting’ global economic conditions as he prepares to head to Washington for G20 meeting, as reported by Bloomberg.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDJPY currently trading at 88.7 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 88.73 and is trading with a change of -0.03 % .

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 88.4, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 90.22 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 90.69 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 92.48

The previous day high was 88.76 while the previous day low was 87.92. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 88.44, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 88.24, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 88.18, 87.63, 87.35
• Pivot resistance is noted at 89.02, 89.31, 89.86

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