#USDCHF @ 0.91273 has faced selling pressure near 0.9140 amid the positive market mood. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USD/CHF has faced selling pressure near 0.9140 amid the positive market mood.
- Investors believe that the anticipation of one more rate hike in 2023 by Fed Powell is not for May policy.
- Swiss annual retail sales (Feb) data is expected to expand by 1.9% against a contraction of 2.2%.
The pair currently trades last at 0.91273.
The previous day high was 0.9201 while the previous day low was 0.9126. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9155, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9172, expected to provide resistance.
The USD/CHF pair has faced tough barricades near 0.9140 in the Asian session. The Swiss Franc asset is expected to register a fresh two-week low after slipping below 0.9120 ahead. The downside bets for the major are accelerating as the US Dollar Index (DXY) has dropped after a short-lived pullback near 102.25. The downside action in the USD Index is expected to drag it below the immediate support of 102.00.
Bearish bets for USD Index are accelerating as investors believe that anticipation of one more rate hike in 2023 by Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell is not for May monetary policy meeting. No doubt, fears of the United States banking system crisis have ebbed significantly, and credit conditions by US banks will remain extremely tight to safeguard themselves from further casualties. Also, the impact of US banking jitters is yet to be realized ahead.
As per the CME Fedwatch tool, more than 52% chances are in favor of an unchanged monetary policy stance by the Fed for its May policy meeting.
Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have carry-forwarded optimism observed on Thursday. The 500-US stocks basket futures have added more gains in the Asian session, portraying further solidification of the risk appetite of the market participants. The demand for US government bonds is getting subdued amid an absence of clarity on the monetary policy outlook.
On the Swiss Franc front, investors are awaiting the release of Real Retail Sales (Feb) data. The annual retail sales data is expected to expand by 1.9% against a contraction of 2.2%, which would cement further scalability in the inflationary pressures. Also, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) is set on the path of bringing inflation down by hiking more rates ahead.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDCHF currently trading at 0.9131 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.9129 and is trading with a change of 0.02 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.9131 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0002 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.0200 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.9129 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.9247, 50 SMA 0.9251, 100 SMA @ 0.93 and 200 SMA @ 0.9521.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.9247 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.9251 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.9300 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.9521 |
The previous day high was 0.9201 while the previous day low was 0.9126. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9155, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9172, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.9103, 0.9078, 0.9029
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.9178, 0.9226, 0.9252
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.9201 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.9126 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.9317 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.9120 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.9429 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.9059 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.9155 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.9172 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.9103 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.9078 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.9029 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.9178 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.9226 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.9252 |
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