#USDJPY @ 136.953 bears are making a move following Japan GDP. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• USD/JPY bears are making a move following Japan GDP.
• 137 is being tested while investors await the next catalyst in US jobs data.
• Japanese GDP Annualised SA (QoQ) Q4 F: 0.1% (exp 0.8%; prev 0.6%).
• GDP SA (Q/Q) Q4 F: 0.0% (exp 0.2%; prev 0.2%).
• GDP Nominal SA (QoQ) Q4 F: 1.2% (exp 1.3%; prev 1.3%) .

The pair currently trades last at 136.953.

The previous day high was 137.91 while the previous day low was 136.48. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 137.37, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 137.03, expected to provide resistance.

USD/JPY is slightly pressured and is testing below 137.00 in the Tokyo open while the US Dollar paused its advance following Federal Reserve Jerome Powell’s second day on Capitol Hill. Meanwhile, in recent trade, Japan’s Gross Domestic Product was released by the Cabinet Office as follows:

USD/JPY is down some 15 pips following the data while the US Dollar was otherwise steady in prior trade but down from three-month highs that were reached earlier on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell offered no major surprises on his second day of testimony before Congress and as investors waited for jobs data on Friday.

USD/JPY rallied on Tuesday when Fed’s Powell said the central bank will likely need to raise interest rates more than expected in response to strong data. He added that the Fed would be prepared to move in what has been perceived by the market as a 50bp hike if the data suggested tougher measures were needed to control inflation. Consequently, Fed funds futures traders now see a 70% probability of a 50 basis-point hike at the Fed’s March 21-22 meeting, up from around 22% before Powell spoke on Tuesday. The rate is now expected to peak at 5.69% in September.

In the latest jobs data, the ADP National Employment report on Wednesday showed that private employment increased by 242,000 jobs last month and that US job openings fell less than expected in January. Data for the prior month was revised higher. This comes before February Nonfarm Payrolls data due on Friday whereby traders will be looking for the confirmation of continued strong jobs growth. The last data showed that employers added 517,000 jobs in January. Markets expect 203,000 new jobs in February with an unchanged unemployment rate of 3.4% and unchanged average hourly earnings at +0,3%. Consumer price inflation data on Tuesday will also be key to whether the Fed shifts gears with the rate increases. It is expected to show that prices rose by 0.4% in February.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

USDJPY currently trading at 137.03 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 137.25 and is trading with a change of -0.16 % .

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 134.86, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 132.27 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 136.25 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 137.43

The previous day high was 137.91 while the previous day low was 136.48. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 137.37, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 137.03, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 136.51, 135.78, 135.08
• Pivot resistance is noted at 137.95, 138.64, 139.38

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