#GBPJPY @ 162.190 has sensed some buying interest near 162.00 ahead of the BoJ policy. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/JPY has sensed some buying interest near 162.00 ahead of the BoJ policy.
- Last BoJ Kuroda’s meeting might come with an unchanged stance, however, a power-pack action cannot be ruled out.
- In times when UK CPI is still in the double-digit figure, a steady policy stance could dampen BoE’s efforts.
The pair currently trades last at 162.190.
The previous day high was 162.99 while the previous day low was 161.71. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 162.5, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 162.2, expected to provide resistance.
The GBP/JPY pair attempted a rebound to near 162.00 in the early Asian session. The cross is expected to display extremely volatile moves ahead as investors are awaiting the release of the United Kingdom’s monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Manufacturing sector data, and the interest rate decision by the Bank of Japan (BoJ).
Mounting expectations of the coming pause in the policy-tightening spell by the Bank of England (BoE) is impacting the Pound Sterling. BoE policymaker Swati Dhingra warned against further interest rate increases by citing “Overtightening poses a more material risk at this point.” She further added, “Many tightening effects are yet to fully take hold.”
In times when the UK headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) is still in double-digit figure despite pushing rates to 4%, a steady policy stance could dampen the efforts yet made by BoE Governor Andrew Bailey and his teammates.
On the economic front, Monthly Manufacturing production (Jan) is expected to contract by 0.1% and the Industrial Production is seen contracting by 0.2% in the same period. The consensus shows monthly GDP has expanded by 0.1% vs. December’s contraction of 0.5%.
Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen is likely to display a power-pack action as March’s monetary policy will be the last for BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda. Analysts at Danske Bank are of the view that “The BoJ will tweak its yield curve control in the short-term. It is not likely to happen this week, but we also were surprised the last time they did it in December. Either way, we think it is a matter of time and could happen during Q2.”
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPJPY currently trading at 162.33 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 162.62 and is trading with a change of -0.18 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 162.33 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.29 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.18 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 162.62 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 162.16, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 160.46 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 163.4 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 163.45
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 162.16 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 160.46 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 163.40 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 163.45 |
The previous day high was 162.99 while the previous day low was 161.71. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 162.5, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 162.2, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 161.89, 161.17, 160.62
- Pivot resistance is noted at 163.17, 163.71, 164.44
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 162.99 |
| Previous Daily Low | 161.71 |
| Previous Weekly High | 166.01 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 162.61 |
| Previous Monthly High | 166.01 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 156.73 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 162.50 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 162.20 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 161.89 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 161.17 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 160.62 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 163.17 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 163.71 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 164.44 |
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