#XAUUSD @ 1,813.63 Gold price is expected to continue its four-day losing streak amid hawkish Fed bets. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Gold price is expected to continue its four-day losing streak amid hawkish Fed bets.
- Investors should be prepared for a surprise rise in US Durable Goods Orders as the households’ demand has accelerated lately.
- Gold price is trading in a Falling Channel chart pattern in which every pullback is considered a selling opportunity.
The pair currently trades last at 1813.63.
The previous day high was 1827.87 while the previous day low was 1808.99. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1816.2, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1820.66, expected to provide resistance.
Gold price (XAU/USD) is demonstrating a topsy-turvy auction around $1,810.00 in the Asian session. The precious metal is expected to continue its four-day losing streak after surrendering the immediate support of $1,809.00 as Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers see interest rates above 5% after January’s hot inflation data..
Cleveland Fed Bank President Loretta Mester cited “Will need to go above 5% funds rate, stay there for a while.” He further added, “Data shows inflation not yet on trend to get back sustainably to 2% target.”
An escalation in the United States Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index by 0.6% in January has cleared that it would be early announcing victory for the battle against inflation. A strong labor cost index has propelled consumer spending, which could result in a recovery in the Producer Price Index (PPI) ahead.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is struggling to continue the upside move toward the 105.00 resistance. S&P500 futures are showing nominal gains after a bearish Friday, portraying a sheer drop in the risk appetite of the market participants. The return delivered on 10-year US Treasury bonds has dropped marginally below 3.94%.
Going forward, the Gold price will display action post the release of the US Durable Goods Orders (Jan) data. The street is expecting a contraction of 4% lower than the expansion of 5.6% released earlier. Investors should be prepared for a surprise rise as the households’ demand has accelerated lately.
Gold price is trading in a Falling Channel chart pattern in which every pullback is considered as a selling opportunity before a reversal move. The yellow metal is expected to find resistance around $1,820.00 after a minor pullback move.
The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,833.80 is acting as a major barricade for the Gold bulls.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which advocates further downside.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAUUSD currently trading at 1813.36 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1810.94 and is trading with a change of 0.13 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1813.36 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 2.42 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.13 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1810.94 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1864.16, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1865.35 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1792.35 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1776.01
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1864.16 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1865.35 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1792.35 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1776.01 |
The previous day high was 1827.87 while the previous day low was 1808.99. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1816.2, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1820.66, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1804.0, 1797.05, 1785.12
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1822.88, 1834.81, 1841.76
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1827.87 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1808.99 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1847.59 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1808.99 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1949.27 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1823.76 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1816.20 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1820.66 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1804.00 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1797.05 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1785.12 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1822.88 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1834.81 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1841.76 |
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