#USDCHF @ 0.92752 is aiming to deliver a break above 0.9280 amid the risk aversion theme. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#USDCHF @ 0.92752 is aiming to deliver a break above 0.9280 amid the risk aversion theme. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • USD/CHF is aiming to deliver a break above 0.9280 amid the risk aversion theme.
  • Rising odds of more rates announcement by the Fed in its March monetary policy meeting are fueling US Treasury yields.
  • The Swiss Franc asset has successfully tested the breakout of the downward-sloping trendline placed from 0.9600.

The pair currently trades last at 0.92752.

The previous day high was 0.9265 while the previous day low was 0.9221. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9238, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9248, expected to provide support.

The USD/CHF pair is gathering strength to deliver a break above 0.9280 in the early Asian session. The Swiss franc asset is struggling to deliver more gains despite the risk aversion theme underpinned by the market participants.

An upbeat preliminary United States S&P PMI (Feb) data cleared that the economic activities are getting expansionary again, which could be the result of a rebound in consumer spending. This led to a sheer fall in the risk-perceived assets as expansionary economic activities support a hawkish view from the Federal Reserve (Fed).

S&P500 futures are offering mild gains in the early Tokyo session, however, the overall sentiment is still risk-off. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is struggling to extend gains above 103.90, however, the upside looks favored as volatility in the FX domain might remain high ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes. Rising odds of more rates announcement by the Fed in its March monetary policy meeting are fueling US treasury yields. The return on 10-year bonds has jumped to near 4%.

On the Swiss Franc front, the commentary from Swiss National Bank (SNB) Vice Chairman Martin Schlegel failed to provide strength to the Swiss franc. SNB Schlegel cited the central bank is “still willing” to be active in the foreign currency markets in pursuing its goal of price stability.

USD/CHF has successfully tested the breakout of the downward-sloping trendline placed from November 21 high around 0.9600 on a four-hour scale. Usually, a successful test of a trendline breakout with an absence of solid downside pressure indicates the strength of bulls and prepares a platform for a confident upside move ahead.

The Swiss Franc asset has confidently shifted its auction above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.9245.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is looking to enter into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

USDCHF currently trading at 0.9277 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.9232 and is trading with a change of 0.49 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.9277
1 Today Daily Change 0.0045
2 Today Daily Change % 0.4900
3 Today daily open 0.9232

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.9213, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.9248 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.9487 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.9582

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.9213
1 Daily SMA50 0.9248
2 Daily SMA100 0.9487
3 Daily SMA200 0.9582

The previous day high was 0.9265 while the previous day low was 0.9221. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9238, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9248, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.9213, 0.9195, 0.9169
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.9258, 0.9284, 0.9302
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.9265
Previous Daily Low 0.9221
Previous Weekly High 0.9332
Previous Weekly Low 0.9138
Previous Monthly High 0.9410
Previous Monthly Low 0.9085
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9238
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9248
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9213
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9195
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9169
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9258
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9284
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9302

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