#AUDUSD @ 0.68717 takes offers to refresh intraday low, sellers approach the weekly bottom marked the previous day. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• AUD/USD takes offers to refresh intraday low, sellers approach the weekly bottom marked the previous day.
• Australia Consumer Inflation Expectations for February eased to 5.1%.
• Aussie Employment Change came offered negative surprise, Unemployment Rate rose to 3.7% during January.
• Hawkish Fed bets, RBA’s struggle to gain market confidence keep bears hopeful.

The pair currently trades last at 0.68717.

The previous day high was 0.6992 while the previous day low was 0.6865. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6913, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6943, expected to provide resistance.

AUD/USD stands on slippery grounds as sellers rush towards the weekly low of 0.6864, marked the previous day, following a nearly 40 pip of slump on the downbeat Australian inflation and employment numbers. That said, the Aussie pair marked the biggest daily loss in a fortnight the previous day as the US Dollar jumped to a six-week high amid strong US data.

That said, Australia’s headline Employment Change offered a negative surprise of -11.5K versus 20.0K expected and -14.6K prior while the Unemployment Rate rose to 3.47% versus 3.5% expected and prior.

Also read: Breaking: AUD/USD drops over 30 pips on Aussie jobs data disappointment

Earlier in the day, Australia’s Consumer Inflation Expectations for February also eased to 5.1% versus 5.6% market forecasts and previous readouts.

Given the downbeat employment and inflation data, the cautious comments from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe join the increasing market bets on the hawkish Fed moves to weigh on the AUD/USD prices.

That said, the market’s bets on the Fed’s next moves, as per the FEDWATCH tool of Reuters, suggest that the US central bank rates are to peak in July around 5.25% versus the December Federal Reserve prediction of 5.10% top rate.

It’s worth observing that the hawkish Fed bets weigh on the market sentiment and the AUD/USD prices even as the US Dollar Index (DXY) takes a breather around 103.80 after rising to a fresh six-week high the previous day. While portraying the mood, S&P 500 Futures remain indecisive whereas the US 10-year Treasury bond yields remain sidelined near the 1.5-month high marked on Wednesday.

Looking ahead, risk catalysts and the second-tier US data concerning the housing market, industrial activity and producer prices will be eyed for clear directions but major attention will be given to the central bank chatters.

A U-turn from the 3.5-month-old previous support line, around 0.7005 by the press time, keeps AUD/USD bears hopeful but the 50-DMA and the 200-DMA challenge the Aussie pair’s further downside around 0.6885 and 0.6800 respectively.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6906 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6908 and is trading with a change of -0.03% % .

The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.7001, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6884 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6699 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6806

The previous day high was 0.6992 while the previous day low was 0.6865. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6913, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6943, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 0.6851, 0.6794, 0.6724
• Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6978, 0.7048, 0.7105

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