#AUDUSD @ 0.69478 takes offers to refresh intraday low, prints the first daily loss in three., @nehcap view: Limited downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/USD takes offers to refresh intraday low, prints the first daily loss in three.
- RBA’s Lowe fails to impress hawks despite citing inflation woes.
- Failures to cross immediate hurdles, bearish MACD signals favor sellers.
- Two-month-old ascending support line, 50-DMA challenge further downside.
The pair currently trades last at 0.69478.
The previous day high was 0.703 while the previous day low was 0.6922. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6988, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6963, expected to provide resistance.
AUD/USD recalls bears, after a two-day absence, as it renews its intraday low near the mid-0.6900s as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor failed to impress policy hawks in his testimony early Wednesday.
Also read: RBA Lowe: Inflation is way too high, needs to come down
In doing so, AUD/USD takes offers to print the first daily loss in three while reversing from the 21-DMA hurdle. The downside move also gains support from the bearish MACD signals and downbeat RSI (14), not oversold.
It should be noted, however, that an upward-sloping support line from December 20, 2022, close to 0.6930 by the press time, restricts immediate declines of the AUD/USD pair.
Following that, the 50-DMA support of 0.6885 will precede the monthly low of 0.6855 to act as final defenses for the Aussie pair buyers before giving control to the AUD/USD bears.
In that case, the previous monthly low near 0.6730 could gain major attention.
Alternatively, a daily closing beyond the 21-DMA, around the 0.7000 round figure, can propel the AUD/USD prices towards the late January swing high near 0.7065 before highlighting the 0.7100 threshold as the key resistance.
During the quote’s run-up beyond 0.7100, the monthly high of 0.7157 will be crucial to watch as it holds the key to a rally targeting the June 2022 peak surrounding 0.7285.
Trend: Limited downside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6954 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6992 and is trading with a change of -0.54% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6954 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0038 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.54% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6992 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.7002, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.688 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6695 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6806
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.7002 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6880 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6695 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6806 |
The previous day high was 0.703 while the previous day low was 0.6922. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6988, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6963, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6932, 0.6873, 0.6824
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.7041, 0.7089, 0.7149
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.7030 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6922 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.7011 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6856 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.7143 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6688 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6988 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6963 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6932 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6873 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6824 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.7041 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.7089 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.7149 |
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