The Uncertainty over BoJ Kuroda’s successor and disappointed earnings have weighed on Nikkei225. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- The Uncertainty over BoJ Kuroda’s successor and disappointed earnings have weighed on Nikkei225.
- RBI Governor has announced a hike in the repo rate by 25 bps to 6.50%.
- Oil prices are looking to add more gains ahead of US oil inventory data.
The pair currently trades last at 27706.39.
The previous day high was 27713.1 while the previous day low was 27401.01. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 27593.88, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 27520.23, expected to provide support.
Markets in the Asian domain are witnessing a sell-off as hawkish interest rate guidance by Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell has escalated fears of a further slowdown in the United States economy. Fed’s Powell has confirmed that investors should brace for more interest rates if the labor market continues to surprise the market with significant additions.
Contrary to the performance of the Asian stocks, S&P500 futures have recovered their morning losses and are now looking to add gains above Tuesday’s bullish session. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has demonstrated a sideways auction despite the commentary from US President Joe Biden at the State of the Union (SOTU) on relations with China and more taxes on billionaires by quadrupling taxes on corporate buybacks.
At the press time, Japan’s Nikkei225 dropped 0.40%, ChinaA50 remained flat, Hang Seng gained 0.30%, and Nifty50 jumped 0.60%.
Disappointing results from Japanese equities weighed on Nikkei225 on Wednesday. Poor earnings have joined uncertainty over Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda’s successor have jolted market sentiment in Japan. Japanese Prime Minister (PM) Fumio Kishida said on Wednesday, “in process of choosing the next Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor nominee, they are mindful of very strong market attention on the decision.”
Nifty50 has turned volatile after the interest rate decision by the Reserve Bank of Index (RBI). RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das has announced a hike in the repo rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 6.5% as the inflationary pressures are still challenging due to global factors. The real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for FY23-24 is projected at 6.4%. The RBI sees inflation moderating in FY23-24 but above the 4% target.
On the oil front, the oil price is aiming to extend its gains to near $78.00 despite the street estimating a build-up in oil inventories by the United States Energy Information Administration (EIA) ahead. A poll from Reuters indicates a build-up of oil inventories by 2.5 million barrels for the week ending February 03.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XTIUSD currently trading at 27706.39 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 27706.39 and is trading with a change of 0.0 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 27706.39 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.00 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.00 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 27706.39 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 27036.2, 50 SMA 26960.71, 100 SMA @ 27162.72 and 200 SMA @ 27244.68.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 27036.20 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 26960.71 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 27162.72 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 27244.68 |
The previous day high was 27713.1 while the previous day low was 27401.01. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 27593.88, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 27520.23, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 27500.57, 27294.74, 27188.48
- Pivot resistance is noted at 27812.66, 27918.92, 28124.75
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 27713.10 |
| Previous Daily Low | 27401.01 |
| Previous Weekly High | 27766.36 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 27191.99 |
| Previous Monthly High | 27619.58 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 25549.18 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 27593.88 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 27520.23 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 27500.57 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 27294.74 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 27188.48 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 27812.66 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 27918.92 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 28124.75 |
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