#AUDUSD @ 0.69390 retreats from previous support line, pares the first daily gains in four while bouncing off the key support confluence., @nehcap view: Pullback expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/USD retreats from previous support line, pares the first daily gains in four while bouncing off the key support confluence.
- RBA-inspired gains join 0.6860-65 support confluence to portray recovery moves.
- Bearish MACD signals, failure to cross support-turned-resistance tease Aussie pair bears.
- RBA’s hawkish move failed to impress Aussie bulls for long amid talks of easing inflation.
The pair currently trades last at 0.69390.
The previous day high was 0.6948 while the previous day low was 0.6856. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6891, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6913, expected to provide support.
AUD/USD pares intraday gains around 0.6930 as bulls struggle near the short-term key hurdle heading into Tuesday’s European session. In doing so, the Aussie pair fades the bounce off a one-month low while snapping a three-day downtrend.
That said, the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) 0.25% rate hike, as expected, underpinned the AUD/USD pair’s rebound from the 0.6860-65 support confluence comprising the 50-DMA and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its June-October 2022 downside.
Also read: AUD/USD Outlook: Bulls look to seize back control on RBA’s hawkish outlook
It’s worth noting, however, that the mentioning of the fears of receding inflation fears and the inability to cross the support-turned-resistance line from early November 2022, close to 0.6930 by the press time, challenges the AUD/USD pair buyers.
In a case where the Aussie pair stays firmer past 0.6930, the odds of its run-up toward the 0.7000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. However, highs marked during August 2022 and the monthly top, close to 0.7135 and 0.7160 in that order, could challenge the AUD/USD bulls afterward.
Meanwhile, AUD/USD pullback remains elusive unless breaking the 0.6860 support confluence.
Even so, the 200-DMA support, around 0.6810 by the press time, could challenge the Aussie pair sellers. Also acting as the downside filter is the 0.6800 threshold, a break of which could quickly drag prices toward January’s low near 0.6685.
Trend: Pullback expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDUSD currently trading at 0.693 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6885 and is trading with a change of 0.65% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.693 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0045 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.65% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6885 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.7002, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6856 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6672 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.681
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.7002 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6856 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6672 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6810 |
The previous day high was 0.6948 while the previous day low was 0.6856. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6891, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6913, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6844, 0.6803, 0.6751
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6937, 0.6989, 0.703
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6948 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6856 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.7158 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6919 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.7143 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6688 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6891 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6913 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6844 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6803 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6751 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6937 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6989 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.7030 |
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