#GBPUSD @ 1.21907 remains under some selling pressure for the second successive day on Friday. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• GBP/USD remains under some selling pressure for the second successive day on Friday.
• A dovish assessment of the BoE decision weighs on the GBP amid a modest USD strength.
• A break below the 1.2200 mark might have set the stage for further losses ahead of NFP.

The pair currently trades last at 1.21907.

The previous day high was 1.2402 while the previous day low was 1.2229. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2295, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2336, expected to provide resistance.

The GBP/USD pair extends the previous day’s rejection slide from the 1.2400 mark and continues losing ground for the second successive day on Friday. Spot prices drop to a nearly three-week low during the first half of the European session, with bears looking to build on the negative momentum further below the 1.2200 round-figure mark.

The British Pound is undermined by a dovish assessment of the Bank of England’s (BoE) policy outlook, which, along with a modest US Dollar strength, exerts pressure on the GBP/USD pair. In fact, the BoE raised the policy rate by another 50 bps and noted that further tightening would be required if there were to be evidence of more persistent price pressures. The UK central bank, however, removed the phrase that they would “respond forcefully, as necessary” in its accompanying policy statement. Furthermore, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey said that inflation will continue to fall this year and more rapidly during the second half of 2023. This, in turn, fuels speculations that the current rate-hiking cycle might be nearing the end and continues to weigh on the Sterling.

The US Dollar, on the other hand, is seen building on the overnight goodish rebound from a nine-month low amid some repositioning trade ahead of the closely-watched US NFP report. The US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims data released on Thursday pointed to the underlying strength in the labor market. This, in turn, boosted expectations for strong monthly employment details, due later during the early North American session, and forced investors to re-evaluate their expectations for future rate hikes by the Fed. Apart from this, the prevalent cautious market mood is seen as another factor benefiting the safe-haven greenback. and contributes to the offered tone surrounding the GBP/USD pair. Moreover, the technical setup supports prospects for a further near-term depreciating move.

The recent repeated failures near the 1.2445 region constitute the formation of bearish multiple tops on the daily chart. The subsequent break below the 1.2200 mark adds credence to the negative outlook and suggests that the path of least resistance for the GBP/USD pair is to the downside. Hence, any attempted recovery move might now be seen as a selling opportunity and runs the risk of fizzling out rather quickly. Spot prices seem poised to weaken further towards the 1.2130-1.2125 intermediate support en route to the 1.2100 round figure.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2195 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2238 and is trading with a change of -0.35 % .

The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.2291, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.2191 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.1797 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.1958

The previous day high was 1.2402 while the previous day low was 1.2229. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2295, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2336, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 1.2178, 1.2117, 1.2005
• Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2351, 1.2463, 1.2524

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