#GBPUSD @ 1.22230 is expecting more upside above 1.2250 amid a cheerful market mood. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD is expecting more upside above 1.2250 amid a cheerful market mood.
- BOE’s Mann doesn’t see any risk of over-tightening in its current interest rate hike cycle.
- The US PPI is expected to decline further amid lower gasoline prices and weak retail demand.
The pair currently trades last at 1.22230.
The previous day high was 1.2249 while the previous day low was 1.2151. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2211, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2188, expected to provide support.
The GBP/USD pair is struggling to extend gains above the immediate resistance of 1.2250 in the early Asian session. The Cable has sensed selling pressure while overstepping the aforementioned resistance a few times but is now expected to extend the rally upside amid a significant improvement in the risk appetite of the market participants.
A four-day winning streak in S&P500 is portraying that the market mood is quite upbeat. Investors are pouring funds into the risk-perceived assets while dumping the safe-haven assets. The 10-year US Treasury yields surprisingly gained to 3.50%. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) managed to restrict its downside to near 101.76.
This week, the Pound Sterling will be guided by the United Kingdom inflation data, which will release on Wednesday. As per the projections, the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) (Dec) is expected to trim to 10.6% from the former release of 10.7%. While the core price index data that excludes oil and gas prices might escalate to 6.6% vs. the prior release of 6.3% in a similar period.
It looks like the UK inflation has got more stubborn and the Bank of England (BOE) will be forced to continue hiking interest rates further. BOE member Catherine Mann cited that the central bank is not at a point where it needs to worry about the risk of over-tightening in its interest rate-rising cycle.
On the United States front, investors are awaiting the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) data. The street sees a decline in headline factory gate prices of goods and services (Dec) to 6.8% from the former release of 7.4%. Also, the core PPI might trim to 5.9% from the former release of 6.2% in a similar period.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2226 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2234 and is trading with a change of -0.07 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.2226 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0008 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.0700 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.2234 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.2088, 50 SMA 1.2038, 100 SMA @ 1.1688 and 200 SMA @ 1.1997.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.2088 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.2038 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.1688 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.1997 |
The previous day high was 1.2249 while the previous day low was 1.2151. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2211, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2188, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.2174, 1.2113, 1.2076
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2272, 1.2309, 1.237
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.2249 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.2151 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.2249 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.2086 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2447 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.1992 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.2211 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.2188 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.2174 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.2113 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.2076 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.2272 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.2309 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.2370 |
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