#NZDUSD @ 0.63692 takes offers to pare weekly gains strong China trade figures., @nehcap view: Further downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- NZD/USD takes offers to pare weekly gains strong China trade figures.
- China Customs fail to cheer the strong trade volume in 2022 as figures jumped 40 trillion Yuan.
- Weekly resistance line guards immediate upside, 100-HMA probes bears.
- MACD, RSI also favor the pullback moves despite firmer China trade numbers for 2022.
The pair currently trades last at 0.63692.
The previous day high was 0.6418 while the previous day low was 0.6314. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6379, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6354, expected to provide support.
NZD/USD slides towards the intraday low of 0.6369 as it takes offers to 0.6372 despite firmer China trade numbers for December, published early Friday.
That said, China’s Trade Balance figures jumped to a record high in Yuan terms for 2022. However, China Customs Spokesperson Lyu Daliang mentioned that China’s foreign trade will continue to face a number of challenges and difficulties in 2023, per Reuters.
It should be noted that China’s Trade Balance grew 7.7% in 2022. “China’s total goods imports and exports hit a record high again in 2022, expanding 7.7% year on year to 42.07 trillion yuan (about 6.25 trillion U.S. dollars), official data showed Friday,” per Xinhua.
Technically, NZD/USD extends the early-day pullback from the weekly resistance line, around 0.6420 at the latest to poke 100-HMA support of 0.6370.
In doing so, the Kiwi pair fades the previous day’s bounce off the 200-HMA, at 0.6325 by the press time.
Given the looming bear cross on the MACD and RSI (14) retreat, as well as the China Customs’ pessimism surrounding trade conditions in 2023, the NZD/USD pair is likely to witness further downside. Though, the sellers might have a tough time in breaking the 200-HMA support.
Trend: Further downside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
NZDUSD currently trading at 0.6373 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6395 and is trading with a change of -0.34% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6373 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0022 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.34% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6395 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 0.6323, 50 SMA 0.6258, 100 SMA @ 0.6047 and 200 SMA @ 0.6213.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6323 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6258 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6047 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6213 |
The previous day high was 0.6418 while the previous day low was 0.6314. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6379, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6354, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6334, 0.6272, 0.623
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6438, 0.648, 0.6542
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6418 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6314 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6363 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6190 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6514 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6230 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6379 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6354 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6334 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6272 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6230 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6438 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6480 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6542 |
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