#USDCHF @ 0.92510 takes offers to refresh intraday low, down for the fourth consecutive day. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USD/CHF takes offers to refresh intraday low, down for the fourth consecutive day.
- US Dollar traces a pullback in Treasury yields amid mixed sentiment, holiday mood.
- Firmer US data allowed greenback to recover but hawkish statements in SNB quarterly report challenged USD/CHF bulls.
- US GDP, PCE details will be crucial for short-term directions amid holiday mood.
The pair currently trades last at 0.92510.
The previous day high was 0.929 while the previous day low was 0.9239. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9258, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.927, expected to provide resistance.
USD/CHF sellers keep the reins around the mid-0.9200s as they refresh intraday low during a four-day downtrend early Thursday.
The Swiss Franc (CHF) pair bounced off it’s weekly low the previous day before retreating from 0.9290. Even so, the quote ended Wednesday on a negative note as hawkish details of the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) quarterly report jostled with the mixed US data.
“The level of uncertainty associated with the (Swiss GDP) forecast is still high,” said the SNB in its quarterly economic upside the previous day. The SNB also mentioned that inflation will remain elevated for the time being.
On the other hand, the US Conference Board’s (CB) Consumer Confidence jumped to the eight-month high of 108.3 for December, compared to the market forecasts of 101.0 and the revised prior readings of 101.40. However, the US Existing Home Sales for November, 4.09M MoM compared to 4.2M expected and 4.43M prior.
Elsewhere, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s US visit and Russian President Vladimir Putin’s readiness to increase the country’s military potential challenge the risk appetite.
Additionally, the Bank of Japan’s second unscheduled bond buying and a retreat in the US Treasury yields recently exerted downside pressure on the US Dollar and weigh on the USD/CHF prices.
Given the latest US Dollar pullback and the holiday mood, the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the third quarter (Q3) and Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) details for Q3 will be important for immediate directions. Forecasts suggest that the US GDP will confirm 2.9% Annualized growth in Q3 while the Core PCE is anticipated to also meet the initial forecasts of 4.6% QoQ during the stated period.
A sustained U-turn from the 10-DMA hurdle, around 0.9300 by the press time, directs USD/CHF towards a five-week-old descending resistance line, near 0.9175.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDCHF currently trading at 0.9253 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.9267 and is trading with a change of -0.15% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.9253 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0014 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.15% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.9267 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.9372, 50 SMA 0.9637, 100 SMA @ 0.967 and 200 SMA @ 0.9645.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.9372 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.9637 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.9670 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.9645 |
The previous day high was 0.929 while the previous day low was 0.9239. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9258, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.927, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.9241, 0.9214, 0.919
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.9292, 0.9316, 0.9342
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.9290 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.9239 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.9380 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.9216 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.0148 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.9357 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.9258 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.9270 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.9241 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.9214 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.9190 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.9292 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.9316 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.9342 |
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