#AUDUSD @ 0.66872 dropped to test a key technical area on the daily chart. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#AUDUSD @ 0.66872 dropped to test a key technical area on the daily chart. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • AUD/USD dropped to test a key technical area on the daily chart.
  • AUD/USD bears eye a test below the trendline and a move below 0.6640/50 could be significant.

The pair currently trades last at 0.66872.

The previous day high was 0.6851 while the previous day low was 0.6687. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.675, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6788, expected to provide resistance.

AUD/USD was under pressure and down by some 0.14% into the close on Wall Street following the prior day’s Reserve Bank of Australia, RBA, meeting within a risk-off environment in financial markets.

The RBA delivered a 25bps hike as expected but stopped short of signalling a pause as some forecasters were anticipating. The RBA said it was not on a preset course to tighten policy but said inflation was still high. The Bank reaffirmed its tightening bias, noting a further increase in inflation and wages. Meanwhile, today’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for Australia is expected to show growth of 0.7% QoQ with annual GDP growth expected to increase to 6.3%.

As for the greenback, it was nearly unchanged on Tuesday after strong gains the day before, in a risk-off environment. Data this week showed that the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said its Non-Manufacturing PMI rose to 56.5 last month from 54.4 in October, indicating that the services sector, which accounts for more than two-thirds of US economic activity, remained resilient in the face of rising interest rates.

This data combined with Friday’s surprisingly strong Nonfarm Payrolls and wage growth data in November as well as news that consumer spending had accelerated in October raised optimism that a recession could be avoided in 2023. Consequently, traders currently expect a half-point hike from the Fed next week and they expect a terminal rate of just above 5% in May.

As per the prior analysis, AUD/USD Price Analysis: Eyes are on critical daily dynamic support, where a 50% mean reversion area was eyed in the lower quarter of the 0.6700s, bears have moved in as follows:

Prior analysis:

Should the supporting trendline be broken now, a move below 0.6640/50 could be a significant bearish development ahead of the critical remaining calendar events for the year.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6689 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6691 and is trading with a change of -0.03 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.6689
1 Today Daily Change -0.0002
2 Today Daily Change % -0.0300
3 Today daily open 0.6691

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6688, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6504 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6687 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6921

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.6688
1 Daily SMA50 0.6504
2 Daily SMA100 0.6687
3 Daily SMA200 0.6921

The previous day high was 0.6851 while the previous day low was 0.6687. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.675, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6788, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.6635, 0.658, 0.6472
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6799, 0.6907, 0.6962
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.6851
Previous Daily Low 0.6687
Previous Weekly High 0.6845
Previous Weekly Low 0.6640
Previous Monthly High 0.6801
Previous Monthly Low 0.6272
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6750
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6788
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6635
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6580
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6472
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6799
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6907
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6962

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