#AUDUSD @ 0.68246 has advanced firmly to near 0.6820 as the focus has shifted to RBA monetary policy. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#AUDUSD @ 0.68246 has advanced firmly to near 0.6820 as the focus has shifted to RBA monetary policy. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • AUD/USD has advanced firmly to near 0.6820 as the focus has shifted to RBA monetary policy.
  • The RBA is expected to hike its interest rates by 25 bps consecutively for the third time.
  • Solid US NFP failed to infuse fresh blood into the US Dollar.

The pair currently trades last at 0.68246.

The previous day high was 0.6836 while the previous day low was 0.6742. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6778, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.68, expected to provide support.

The AUD/USD pair has witnessed a sharp recovery in the Tokyo session after a corrective move below 0.6780. The Aussie asset has accelerated to near 0.6820 and is expected to extend its gains toward the previous week’s high around 0.6845 amid the risk appetite profile.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has turned sideways marginally above Friday’s low around 104.40 as positive market sentiment has trimmed safe-haven’s appeal. The upbeat United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) has failed to fetch ground for the US Dollar. In November, the US economy added fresh 263K jobs vs. the prior release of 200K. Also, the labor cost index has improved to 5.1% on an annual basis.

A solid labor market along with escalating wages indicates a further increment in inflationary pressures as households carries higher funds for disposal. This may accelerate demand for perishable and durable goods, which could keep price growth active.

On the antipodean front, investors are awaiting an interest rate decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which will be announced on Tuesday. Economists at UOB Group cited that “We are penciling in another 25 basis points (bps) hike at the final monetary policy meeting of the year on 6 Dec, which will take the OCR to 3.10%.

It is worth noting that this could be the third consecutive 25 bps rate hike by RBA Governor Philip Lowe. The monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped to 6.9% in October against the prior release of 7.3%. Still, the inflation rate is significantly far from the targeted rate of 2%, which compels for the continuation of policy tightening.

Apart from that, investors will keep an eye on Caixin Service PMI data. The economic data is seen marginally higher at 48.8 vs. the former release of 48.4.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6813 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6804 and is trading with a change of 0.13 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.6813
1 Today Daily Change 0.0009
2 Today Daily Change % 0.1300
3 Today daily open 0.6804

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6677, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.65 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6688 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6924

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.6677
1 Daily SMA50 0.6500
2 Daily SMA100 0.6688
3 Daily SMA200 0.6924

The previous day high was 0.6836 while the previous day low was 0.6742. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6778, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.68, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.6752, 0.67, 0.6658
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6846, 0.6888, 0.694
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.6836
Previous Daily Low 0.6742
Previous Weekly High 0.6845
Previous Weekly Low 0.6640
Previous Monthly High 0.6801
Previous Monthly Low 0.6272
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6778
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6800
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6752
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6700
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6658
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6846
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6888
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6940

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