#XAGUSD @ 22.507 Silver price rose more than 1%, spurred by Federal Reserve Jerome Powell’s dovish speech. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Silver price rose more than 1%, spurred by Federal Reserve Jerome Powell’s dovish speech.
- Soft US Dollar and US Treasury bond yields plummeting, a tailwind for XAG/USD.
- Silver Price Analysis: Once it cleared $22.00, a rally above $23.00 is on the cards.
The pair currently trades last at 22.507.
The previous day high was 22.2 while the previous day low was 21.2. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 21.81, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 21.58, expected to provide support.
Silver price soars more than 2% following a “dovish” perceived speech by the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell, who laid the ground for lower rate hikes Wednesday. The United States (US) economic docker revealed mixed data, undermining the US Dollar (USD), as shown by the rise of precious metals and most FX peers. At the time of writing, the XAG/USD is trading at $22.55.
Traders’ mood remains upbeat after Powell’s speech. The Federal Reserve Chair said that “the time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting,” spurring US Dollar weakness and sending Silver prices up. He added that most Fed policymakers would not want to “overtighten,” stating that he does not want to cut rates soon.
Data-wise, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) revealed that manufacturing activity in the United States fell to 49.0 below 49.2 estimates and trailed October’s 50.2 reading, the lowest since May 2020. Usually, when the ISM Manufacturing PMI drops below 50, activity is in contractionary territory. However, lower readings would help to tame inflation, though it opens the door for a recession.
Earlier, the US Department of Commerce (Doc) revealed that the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE), rose by 5% YoY, below the previous month’s 5.2% reading, and aligned with consensus. At the same time, the US Department of Labor (DoL) revealed that Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending on November 26 rose by 225K, below the expected 235K by analysts and less than the previous week’s reading.
From a daily chart perspective, the XAG/USD is upward biased, trading above the daily Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). After bottoming around the year-to-date (YTD) lows of around $17.56, the white metal followed an upward trajectory, which initially failed to clear the October 4 swing high of $21.23. Still, once cleared, XAG/USD hurdle the $22.00 psychological level. That said, the Silver price path of least resistance is upwards.
The XAG/USD first resistance is the June 6 high of $22.51, followed by the $23.00 figure, ahead of the May 5 high of $23.27.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAGUSD currently trading at 22.49 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 22.2 and is trading with a change of 1.31 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 22.49 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.29 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 1.31 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 22.20 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 21.23, 50 SMA 20.07, 100 SMA @ 19.67 and 200 SMA @ 21.33.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 21.23 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 20.07 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 19.67 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 21.33 |
The previous day high was 22.2 while the previous day low was 21.2. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 21.81, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 21.58, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 21.53, 20.87, 20.54
- Pivot resistance is noted at 22.53, 22.86, 23.52
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 22.20 |
| Previous Daily Low | 21.20 |
| Previous Weekly High | 21.68 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 20.58 |
| Previous Monthly High | 22.25 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 18.84 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 21.81 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 21.58 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 21.53 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 20.87 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 20.54 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 22.53 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 22.86 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 23.52 |
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