#USDJPY @ 135.274 The breaks a five-month-old trendline, eyeing the 200-day EMA around 134.99. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- The USD/JPY breaks a five-month-old trendline, eyeing the 200-day EMA around 134.99.
- Oscillators in bearish territory cement the downtrend, but overbought RSI might refrain USD/JPY short traders.
- USD/JPY: After reclaiming the 200-DMA, a fall toward 131.70 is on the cards.
The pair currently trades last at 135.274.
The previous day high was 139.9 while the previous day low was 137.65. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 138.51, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 139.04, expected to provide resistance.
The USD/JPY plunges below 136.00, extending its losses towards the 135.20s area, spurred by a risk-off impulse and manufacturing activity weakening in the United States (US), posing a recession risk. Therefore, USD/JPY sellers stepped in, below Wednesday’s low, of 137.64, and sent the pair tumbling more than 250 pips. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 135.34.
The USD/JPY shifted neutral-to-downward biased once it cleared the confluence of the 20, and 100-day EMA around 140.46/50. OF note, the 9-period Rate of Change (ROC) is gathering momentum, meaning sellers are in charge. Still, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) entered oversold conditions, meaning that the USD/JPY might consolidate around the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 134.99 before continuing to the downside.
Additionally, the USD/JPY tumbled below a 5-month-old upslope trendline draw from June lows, which exacerbated the downfall. To conclude, the USD/JPY is downward biased in the near term.
Hence, the USD/JPY first support would be 200-day EMA at 134.99. Break below will expose crucial psychological levels like the 134.00 and 133.00 figures, followed by the August 11 low at 131.73.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDJPY currently trading at 135.34 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 138.08 and is trading with a change of -1.98 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 135.34 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -2.74 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -1.98 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 138.08 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 141.42, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 144.46 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 141.22 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 134.32
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 141.42 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 144.46 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 141.22 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 134.32 |
The previous day high was 139.9 while the previous day low was 137.65. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 138.51, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 139.04, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 137.19, 136.3, 134.95
- Pivot resistance is noted at 139.44, 140.79, 141.68
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 139.90 |
| Previous Daily Low | 137.65 |
| Previous Weekly High | 142.25 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 138.05 |
| Previous Monthly High | 148.82 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 137.50 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 138.51 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 139.04 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 137.19 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 136.30 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 134.95 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 139.44 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 140.79 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 141.68 |
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