#AUDUSD @ 0.67092 US Dollar remains on the back foot against the Australian Dollar. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- US Dollar remains on the back foot against the Australian Dollar.
- Mixed US economic data was ignored by investors focused on Fed’s Powell.
- Inflation in Australia eases lifting pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia.
The pair currently trades last at 0.67092.
The previous day high was 0.6749 while the previous day low was 0.664. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6707, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6682, expected to provide support.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) advances steadily in the New York session amidst a mixed sentiment triggered by investors bracing for Jerome Powell’s speech for reasons that could give a leg-up to risk-perceived assets or rock the boat and bolster the US Dollar (USD). After hitting a daily low of 0.6670, the AUD/USD is trading at 0.6709, above its opening price by 0.24%.
Wall Street’s sentiment remains fragile. Investors get ready for Powell after a slew of Federal Reserve officials paved the way for moderating interest-rate increases and emphasized that the Fed would not pause soon. Speculations for a Fed pivot sent US equities rallying, and the US Dollar weakened, as shown by the US Dollar Index (DXY) dropping from around 110.000 to 105.340.
In the FX space, the AUD/USD recovered after hitting a November low of 0.6272 and climbed toward 0.6800. Nevertheless, failure to decisively conquer the latter exacerbated a pullback to 0.6600 before consolidating around 0.6600-0.6700.
In the meantime, the US economic docket featured the ADP Employment Change report for November, showing that the impact of Fed tightening is finally taking its toll on the labor market. The reading came at 127K new jobs added to the economy, well below estimates. Later, the US Department of Commerce revealed that the US economy in the third quarter grew at a 2.9% pace, vs. 2.6% on its advance release, and smashed the second quarter’s 0.6% contraction.
Aside from this, in the Asian session, the Australian CPI for October rose by 6.9% YoY, below the 7.6% forecasts. Additional data like Building Permits for October disappointed investors and plunged -6% MoM below estimates.
Therefore, the AUD/USD remains neutral-to-upward biased, but Jerome Powell’s speech could exert downward pressure if his remarks are hawkish. Otherwise, expect further AUD upside if he acknowledges the pace of rate hikes.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6709 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6688 and is trading with a change of 0.25 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6709 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0017 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.2500 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6688 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6612, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6487 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6687 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.693
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6612 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6487 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6687 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6930 |
The previous day high was 0.6749 while the previous day low was 0.664. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6707, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6682, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6636, 0.6584, 0.6527
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6745, 0.6801, 0.6853
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6749 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6640 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6781 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6585 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6548 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6170 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6707 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6682 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6636 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6584 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6527 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6745 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6801 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6853 |
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