#AUDUSD @ 0.66881 bounces off intraday low to print mild gains., @nehcap view: Limited recovery expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/USD bounces off intraday low to print mild gains.
- Australia’s Monthly CPI for October, China’s official PMIs for November printed downbeat figures.
- Convergence of the previous support line, two-week-old descending trend line appears the key for bulls.
- Sellers have a bumpy road ahead before taking control.
The pair currently trades last at 0.66881.
The previous day high was 0.6749 while the previous day low was 0.664. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6707, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6682, expected to provide support.
AUD/USD picks up bids to refresh intraday top near the 0.6700 threshold during early Wednesday, extending the previous day’s recovery. In doing so, the Aussie pair ignores downbeat prints of Australia’s monthly inflation numbers and disappointing activity data from Canberra’s biggest customer, Beijing.
Australia’s Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped to 6.9% YoY versus 7.4% expected and 7.3% prior. The inflation numbers defend the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) dovish bias and should have weighed the prices. On the same line, China’s officials NBS Manufacturing PMI dropped to 48.0 versus 49.2 expected and 49.0 prior. Further details mention that the Non-Manufacturing PMI also slumped to 46.7 from 48.7 prior and 51.7 expected.
It should be noted, however, that the 100-SMA defends AUD/USD bulls around 0.6660 amid sluggish oscillators.
Following that, a three-week-old horizontal support zone near 0.6590-85 and the 200-SMA support close to 0.6515 will be crucial for the pair sellers to watch.
On the contrary, recovery remains elusive below the 0.6770 resistance confluence including the previous support line from November 10 and a fortnight-long resistance line.
Even so, the monthly high of around 0.6800 acts as an extra filter to the north for the AUD/USD bulls to watch.
Overall, AUD/USD stays on the bear’s radar despite the latest rebound.
Trend: Limited recovery expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDUSD currently trading at 0.67 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6688 and is trading with a change of 0.18% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.67 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0012 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.18% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6688 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6612, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6487 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6687 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.693
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6612 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6487 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6687 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6930 |
The previous day high was 0.6749 while the previous day low was 0.664. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6707, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6682, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6636, 0.6584, 0.6527
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6745, 0.6801, 0.6853
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6749 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6640 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6781 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6585 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6548 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6170 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6707 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6682 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6636 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6584 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6527 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6745 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6801 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6853 |
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