USD correction may be nearing its bottom – ING
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Today, it’s all about the Fed minutes, as bulls hope to find signs that Chair Powell’s hawkishness was conditional on a strong Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading.
“Today, all eyes are on the FOMC minutes. Expect another rally in risk assets should the minutes provide hints of conditionality of Powell’s post-meeting hawkishness to a prolonged stickiness in inflation readings. In the absence of such hints, there may not be much for risk bulls to cling on to, given that the November meeting was still a largely hawkish one and the post-meeting (and also post-CPI) Fedspeak has been rather cautious on a dovish pivot.”
“The Dollar has faced a new round of selling. We don’t exclude that this correction will run a little further, but we continue to expect a rather radical inversion in the bearish Dollar trend in December as the Fed remains broadly hawkish, energy prices rise again and the global economy slows.”
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